{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1179349","as_of":"2026-10-26T07:09:29.211117Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria\" — \"Candidate A\" leads at 50% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-10-26 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1179349","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1179349","ticker":"balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo","slug":"balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo","title":"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria","description":"Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election, including any second round.\n\nFor full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642\n\nFor full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election\n\nAdditional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. \n\nIn the event that any constituent market resolves to \"Other,\" this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:22:10Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3611.2377659999997,"volume_24hr":2640.753583,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.96473503112793,"normalized_volume":15.240877151489258,"liquidity":13741.62166,"open_interest":2354.729917,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100860","slug":"serbia","label":"Serbia"},{"id":"102953","slug":"bulgaria","label":"Bulgaria"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"106277","slug":"serbia-elections","label":"Serbia Elections"},{"id":"106405","slug":"bulgaria-election","label":"Bulgaria Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Candidate A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-26T06:54:19.056372Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T06:54:19.056372Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.634410Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo","chart_24h":[11.428572,11.428572,11.428572,11.428572,573.614455,573.614455,573.614455,844.354455,862.354455,953.604234,953.604234,953.604234,953.604234,953.604234,1079.094234,1388.094234,1388.094234,1758.944234,2052.833123,2052.833123,2086.277568,2086.277568,2086.277568,2086.277568,2086.277568,2634.761568,2639.282996,2639.282996,2640.753583,2640.753583],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5634830","event_id":"1179349","slug":"will-ilija-srdanovic-become-serbian-pm-and-iliana-iotova-win-bulgaria","question":"Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?","group_item_title":"Srdanović, Iotova","description":"Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.\n\nFor full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642\n\nFor full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election\n\nAdditional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. \n\nIn the event that any constituent market resolves to \"Other,\" this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:22:10Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":301.721325,"volume_24hr":212.65481,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":212.65481,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.552967071533203,"normalized_volume":9.575206756591797,"liquidity":203.5689,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia","Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-26T05:46:15.009554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T05:46:15.009554Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo/will-ilija-srdanovic-become-serbian-pm-and-iliana-iotova-win-bulgaria","event_title":"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria","chart_24h":[0.165,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.325,0.405,0.42,0.345,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.415,0.42,0.43,0.435,0.445,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5634831","event_id":"1179349","slug":"will-ilija-srdanovic-become-serbian-pm-and-andrey-gyurov-win-bulgaria","question":"Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?","group_item_title":"Srdanović, Gyurov","description":"Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.\n\nFor full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642\n\nFor full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election\n\nAdditional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. \n\nIn the event that any constituent market resolves to \"Other,\" this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:22:10Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":31.155556,"volume_24hr":5.555556,"prob_24h_change":0.215,"volume_24h_change":5.555556,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1737143993377686,"normalized_volume":3.5338950157165527,"liquidity":101.4427,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia","Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-26T03:29:49.945612Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T03:29:49.945612Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo/will-ilija-srdanovic-become-serbian-pm-and-andrey-gyurov-win-bulgaria","event_title":"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria","chart_24h":[0.155,0.22,0.215,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.235,0.21,0.215,0.22,0.225,0.295,0.27,0.365,0.375,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5634829","event_id":"1179349","slug":"will-aleksandar-vucic-become-serbian-pm-and-andrey-gyurov-win-bulgaria","question":"Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?","group_item_title":"Vučić, Gyurov","description":"Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.\n\nFor full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642\n\nFor full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election\n\nAdditional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. \n\nIn the event that any constituent market resolves to \"Other,\" this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:22:10Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":412.907334,"volume_24hr":345.13333400000005,"prob_24h_change":-0.305,"volume_24h_change":345.13333400000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.34859848022461,"normalized_volume":10.652581214904785,"liquidity":1198.5039,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia","Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-26T04:36:50.850022Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T04:36:50.850022Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo/will-aleksandar-vucic-become-serbian-pm-and-andrey-gyurov-win-bulgaria","event_title":"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria","chart_24h":[0.355,0.35,0.355,0.265,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.305,0.37,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5634828","event_id":"1179349","slug":"will-aleksandar-vucic-become-serbian-pm-and-iliana-iotova-win-bulgaria","question":"Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?","group_item_title":"Vučić, Iotova","description":"Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.\n\nFor full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642\n\nFor full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election\n\nAdditional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. \n\nIn the event that any constituent market resolves to \"Other,\" this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.035,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:22:10Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2865.4535509999996,"volume_24hr":2077.409883,"prob_24h_change":-0.6735,"volume_24h_change":2065.981311,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.373849868774414,"normalized_volume":18.593664169311523,"liquidity":12363.92187,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia","Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-26T06:09:38.568294Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T06:09:38.568294Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo/will-aleksandar-vucic-become-serbian-pm-and-iliana-iotova-win-bulgaria","event_title":"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria","chart_24h":[0.695,0.605,0.615,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.475,0.52,0.505,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.0205,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5634989","event_id":"1179349","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-serbian-and-bulgarian-elections","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Serbian and Bulgarian elections?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election.\n\nFor full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642\n\nFor full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election\n\nAdditional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. \n\nIn the event that any constituent market resolves to \"Other,\" this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo-NFyfZ8bWki1g.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T14:06:53Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia","Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:24:38.737366Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-serbian-and-bulgarian-elections","event_title":"Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria","chart_24h":null}]}