{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1179717","as_of":"2026-10-13T16:12:49.381029Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Trump approval rating on October 16?\" — \"38.4+\" leads at 28% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1179717","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1179717","ticker":"trump-approval-rating-on-october-16","slug":"trump-approval-rating-on-october-16","title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2219.97195,"volume_24hr":2219.97195,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.83444595336914,"normalized_volume":13.48910140991211,"liquidity":1544.06344,"open_interest":1146.4972130000003,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101697","slug":"approval","label":"Approval"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"103356","slug":"approvals","label":"approvals"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"38.4+","top_outcome_probability":0.28,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":331.521737,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:44.925023Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:44.925023Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.821969Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,151.521737,276.913112,893.86195,1021.36195,1501.36195,1701.36195,1721.4719499999999,1826.4719499999999,1878.4719499999999,1878.4719499999999],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637030","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-at-least-38pt4-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.4 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"38.4+","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":331.52173700000003,"volume_24hr":331.521737,"prob_24h_change":0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":331.521737,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.765410423278809,"normalized_volume":9.892539024353027,"liquidity":173.7772,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-at-least-38pt4-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.13,0.135,0.135,0.115,0.135,0.145,0.195,0.09,0.1,0.045,0.09,0.095,0.085,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637029","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt2-and-38pt3-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.2 and 38.3 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"38.2–38.3","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":133.0,"volume_24hr":133.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":133.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.79351806640625,"normalized_volume":7.038131237030029,"liquidity":167.9738,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt2-and-38pt3-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.145,0.115,0.145,0.145,0.195,0.15,0.175,0.095,0.065,0.07,0.055,0.145,0.13,0.175,0.12,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637025","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt4-and-37pt5-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.4 and 37.5 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"37.4–37.5","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":165.530117,"volume_24hr":165.530117,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":165.530117,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.68195629119873,"normalized_volume":7.676608562469482,"liquidity":143.7168,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt4-and-37pt5-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.145,0.115,0.145,0.14,0.185,0.19,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.13,0.15,0.115,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637023","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt0-and-37pt1-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.1 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"37.0–37.1","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":79.0,"volume_24hr":79.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":79.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.83934211730957,"normalized_volume":5.633758544921875,"liquidity":167.0019,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt0-and-37pt1-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.165,0.145,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.135,0.175,0.165,0.17,0.175,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.05,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637027","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt8-and-37pt9-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.8 and 37.9 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"37.8–37.9","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":359.5,"volume_24hr":359.5,"prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":359.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.151101112365723,"normalized_volume":10.169716835021973,"liquidity":190.49,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt8-and-37pt9-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.145,0.135,0.245,0.195,0.165,0.105,0.17,0.15,0.065,0.065,0.13,0.12,0.155,0.19,0.19,0.195,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637026","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt6-and-37pt7-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.6 and 37.7 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"37.6–37.7","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":233.0,"volume_24hr":233.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":233.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.14983081817627,"normalized_volume":8.731499671936035,"liquidity":165.8444,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt6-and-37pt7-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.145,0.25,0.135,0.115,0.135,0.115,0.135,0.14,0.115,0.125,0.125,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.085,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637028","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt0-and-38pt1-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.1 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"38.0–38.1","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":319.996667,"volume_24hr":319.996667,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":319.996667,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.598673820495605,"normalized_volume":9.772713661193848,"liquidity":194.8259,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt0-and-38pt1-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.11,0.145,0.135,0.115,0.045,0.045,0.07,0.055,0.08,0.145,0.145,0.18,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637021","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-less-than-36pt8-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"<36.8","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1105,0.8895],"probability":0.1105,"spread":0.161,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":305.774142,"volume_24hr":305.774142,"prob_24h_change":-0.019500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":305.774142,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.385951042175293,"normalized_volume":9.619839668273926,"liquidity":166.92494,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-less-than-36pt8-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.165,0.145,0.135,0.11,0.11,0.145,0.085,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.175,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.075,0.04,0.0515,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637024","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt2-and-37pt3-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.2 and 37.3 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"37.2–37.3","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":199.64928700000002,"volume_24hr":199.649287,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":199.649287,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.474577903747559,"normalized_volume":8.246227264404297,"liquidity":164.8659,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt2-and-37pt3-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.165,0.145,0.135,0.165,0.135,0.145,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.205,0.19,0.185,0.115,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5637022","event_id":"1179717","slug":"will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-36pt8-and-36pt9-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Trump's approval rating be between 36.8 and 36.9 on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"36.8–36.9","description":"This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the \"Approve\" column of the \"RCP Average\" row of the table titled \"President Trump Job Approval\" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.\n\nIf the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0845,0.9155],"probability":0.0845,"spread":0.079,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T22:08:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":93.0,"volume_24hr":93.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.1055,"volume_24h_change":93.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.426969528198242,"normalized_volume":6.056057929992676,"liquidity":182.92806,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T15:49:45.128427Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T22:25:30.856800Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-16/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-36pt8-and-36pt9-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Trump approval rating on October 16?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.145,0.25,0.145,0.11,0.135,0.115,0.145,0.195,0.115,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.065,0.079,0.174,0.068,0.065,0.076]}]}