{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1182996","as_of":"2026-10-14T04:27:20.421673Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"AP calls the House by...?\" — 6 markets; highest \"November 30, 11:59 PM\" at 98% as of 2026-10-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1182996","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1182996","ticker":"ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt","slug":"ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt","title":"AP calls the House by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt-6jJfBVgG9q99.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt-6jJfBVgG9q99.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:24Z","end_date":"2027-01-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3217.8072650000004,"volume_24hr":3262.807265,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.172889709472656,"normalized_volume":14.819509506225586,"liquidity":45267.02292,"open_interest":2061.2010330000003,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"103840","slug":"midterm","label":"midterm"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"487","slug":"house-of-representatives","label":"house of representatives"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"November 30, 11:59 PM","top_outcome_probability":0.9795,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.47950000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":85.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.508569Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.508569Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.444418Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,295.02,785.9422,1351.3022,1532.668432,1672.768432,1933.768432,2280.068432,2320.068432,2340.088432,2340.088432,2380.088432,2440.088432,2440.088432,2843.588432,3232.4072650000003,3232.407265,3262.807265],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5649617","event_id":"1182996","slug":"will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-30","question":"Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM?","group_item_title":"November 30, 11:59 PM","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9795,0.0205],"probability":0.9795,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":85.0,"prob_24h_change":0.47950000000000004,"volume_24h_change":85.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.853342056274414,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":11461.60123,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.870916Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.870916Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.489794Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt/will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-30","event_title":"AP calls the House by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.967,0.9785,0.983,0.9825,0.9825,0.982,0.983,0.982,0.981,0.9805,0.981,0.9825,0.982,0.981,0.9825,0.9795]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5649616","event_id":"1182996","slug":"will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-15","question":"Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?","group_item_title":"November 15, 11:59 PM","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.968,0.032],"probability":0.968,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:26Z","end_date":"2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":427.88219999999995,"volume_24hr":427.88219999999995,"prob_24h_change":0.46799999999999997,"volume_24h_change":427.88219999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.541227340698242,"normalized_volume":10.778613090515137,"liquidity":11113.36901,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.870916Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.870916Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.489794Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt/will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-15","event_title":"AP calls the House by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.895,0.9745,0.959,0.97,0.9695,0.97,0.971,0.969,0.9705,0.9685,0.969,0.9715,0.9695,0.968,0.969,0.968]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5649614","event_id":"1182996","slug":"will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-5","question":"Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?","group_item_title":"November 5, 11:59 PM","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.08],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":593.45,"volume_24hr":593.4499999999999,"prob_24h_change":0.42000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":593.4499999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.1497859954834,"normalized_volume":11.970949172973633,"liquidity":703.84139,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T03:55:21.585828Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T03:55:21.585828Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.489794Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt/will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-5","event_title":"AP calls the House by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.475,0.57,0.535,0.525,0.82,0.77,0.895,0.895,0.895,0.9865,0.938,0.9665,0.9,0.895,0.9205,0.9205,0.92]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5649615","event_id":"1182996","slug":"will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-6","question":"Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?","group_item_title":"November 6, 11:59 PM","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.895,0.105],"probability":0.895,"spread":0.168,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:26Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1021.4688330000002,"volume_24hr":1021.468833,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":1021.468833,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.008583068847656,"normalized_volume":14.090019226074219,"liquidity":654.65757,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.870916Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T04:20:26.870916Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.489794Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt/will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-6","event_title":"AP calls the House by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.35,0.4,0.595,0.765,0.9,0.965,0.977,0.9765,0.977,0.977,0.8285,0.8725,0.919,0.9395,0.895]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5649613","event_id":"1182996","slug":"will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-4","question":"Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?","group_item_title":"November 4, 11:59 PM","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.615,0.385],"probability":0.615,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":754.986232,"volume_24hr":754.986232,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":754.986232,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.38819122314453,"normalized_volume":12.888911247253418,"liquidity":20919.6928,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T03:31:16.476907Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T03:31:16.476907Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.489794Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt/will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-4","event_title":"AP calls the House by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.255,0.225,0.44,0.425,0.645,0.865,0.68,0.725,0.665,0.655,0.65,0.72,0.655,0.665,0.615,0.615]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5649612","event_id":"1182996","slug":"will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-3","question":"Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?","group_item_title":"November 3, 11:59 PM","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.\n\nControl of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.\n\nUnder condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.\n\nUnder condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-13T14:32:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":380.02,"volume_24hr":380.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":380.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.979001998901367,"normalized_volume":10.36186695098877,"liquidity":362.0822,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T01:04:10.576322Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T01:04:10.576322Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T14:39:14.489794Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt/will-ap-call-us-house-control-by-november-3","event_title":"AP calls the House by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.25,0.26,0.145,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.165]}]}