{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1194192","as_of":"2026-10-19T05:02:17.570813Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?\" — \"85% to 87.5%\" leads at 86% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-10-19 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1194192","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1194192","ticker":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin","title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3243.002694,"volume_24hr":153.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.394599914550781,"normalized_volume":14.84686279296875,"liquidity":922.46641,"open_interest":886.095242,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"103571","slug":"mu","label":"MU"},{"id":"104548","slug":"kpis","label":"KPIs"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105073","slug":"micron","label":"Micron"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"85% to 87.5%","top_outcome_probability":0.855,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":49.82,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:22.905221Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:22.905221Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.511499Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin","chart_24h":[574.994286,243.794286,202.714286,202.714286,202.714286,202.714286,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,80.0,80.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,93.0,133.0,153.0,153.0,153.0,153.0,153.0,153.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5730964","event_id":"1194192","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-85-to-87pt5","question":"Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?","group_item_title":"85% to 87.5%","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.855,0.145],"probability":0.855,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":680.895347,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.17999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":49.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.947991847991943,"normalized_volume":12.49087142944336,"liquidity":72.4959,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.549758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-85-to-87pt5","event_title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","chart_24h":[0.675,0.675,0.675,0.685,0.375,0.545,0.58,0.635,0.635,0.685,0.735,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5730965","event_id":"1194192","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-87pt5-to-90","question":"Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 87.5% and 90%?","group_item_title":"87.5% to 90%","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":752.3463929999999,"volume_24hr":13.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-19.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5988965034484863,"normalized_volume":12.875309944152832,"liquidity":147.9734,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.549758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-87pt5-to-90","event_title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.07,0.075,0.065,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.065,0.065,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.065,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.085,0.045,0.09,0.055,0.095,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5730967","event_id":"1194192","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-92pt5-or-more","question":"Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be above 92.5%?","group_item_title":"92.5%+","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.058,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":562.506668,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.14606237411499,"normalized_volume":11.7714204788208,"liquidity":213.62421,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T00:23:34.058288Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T00:23:34.058288Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.549758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-92pt5-or-more","event_title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","chart_24h":[0.0315,0.0315,0.031,0.014,0.031]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5730963","event_id":"1194192","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-82pt5-to-85","question":"Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?","group_item_title":"82.5% to 85%","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":512.894286,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08,"volume_24h_change":-112.894286,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.431366920471191,"liquidity":169.4454,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.549758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-82pt5-to-85","event_title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.155,0.14,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.145,0.16,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.115,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5730962","event_id":"1194192","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-less-than-82pt5","question":"Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 82.5%?","group_item_title":"<82.5%","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":306.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.624282836914062,"liquidity":243.97814,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T06:31:38.010984Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T06:31:38.010984Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.549758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-less-than-82pt5","event_title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5730966","event_id":"1194192","slug":"micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-90-to-92pt5","question":"Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 90% and 92.5%?","group_item_title":"90% to 92.5%","description":"This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/micron-q3-adjusted-gross-margin-l0ZqvIDMU0eC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.038,0.962],"probability":0.038,"spread":0.054,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T13:24:02Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T23:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":428.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-10.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.781082153320312,"liquidity":162.42521,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:58:23.941668Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T13:44:14.549758Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin/micron-q1-adjusted-gross-margin-90-to-92pt5","event_title":"Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?","chart_24h":[0.039,0.039]}]}