{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1205854","as_of":"2026-10-18T07:45:02.750308Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?\" — \"40-64\" leads at 30% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1205854","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1205854","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3606.126241,"volume_24hr":3668.136241,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.9416446685791,"normalized_volume":15.239171028137207,"liquidity":35542.6951,"open_interest":3078.799035,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"40-64","top_outcome_probability":0.305,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.175,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1108.3373629999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.675528Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.675528Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.506485Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026","chart_24h":[30.0,62.01,185.708629,218.453715,225.977261,700.415578,700.415578,1253.600449,1253.600449,1253.600449,1253.600449,1758.200449,1760.5260309999999,1760.5260309999999,2598.226031,2974.852973,3355.28207,3668.136241],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824121","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-40-64","question":"Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"40-64","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.305,0.695],"probability":0.305,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1108.337363,"volume_24hr":1108.3373629999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":1108.3373629999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.553733825683594,"normalized_volume":14.423555374145508,"liquidity":1191.6404,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.941144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.941144Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-40-64","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.385,0.385,0.33,0.325,0.42,0.405,0.42,0.415,0.415,0.42,0.385,0.3,0.305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824122","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-65-89","question":"Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"65-89","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":68.437533,"volume_24hr":68.437533,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":68.437533,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.883475303649902,"normalized_volume":5.275547027587891,"liquidity":1558.0099,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T05:44:11.053832Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T05:44:11.053832Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-65-89","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.35,0.295,0.31,0.295,0.29,0.275,0.285,0.275,0.285,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824123","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-90-114","question":"Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"90-114","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":347.27203099999997,"volume_24hr":347.272031,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":347.272031,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.019416809082031,"normalized_volume":10.050851821899414,"liquidity":2078.7881,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T06:57:12.426751Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T06:57:12.426751Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-90-114","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.175,0.165,0.185,0.185,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.185,0.19,0.185,0.195,0.205,0.215,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824124","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-115-139","question":"Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"115-139","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.096,0.904],"probability":0.096,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":69.36943500000001,"volume_24hr":101.37943500000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.159,"volume_24h_change":101.37943500000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.393205642700195,"normalized_volume":5.308770656585693,"liquidity":1288.18791,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.941144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.941144Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-115-139","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.155,0.158,0.1575,0.157,0.0925,0.094,0.0945,0.095,0.0985,0.114,0.097,0.094,0.095,0.0965]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824120","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-0-39","question":"Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"<40","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":249.630023,"volume_24hr":249.630023,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":249.630023,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.378340721130371,"normalized_volume":8.952659606933594,"liquidity":3275.16204,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T06:57:12.426751Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T06:57:12.426751Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-0-39","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.09,0.0455,0.046,0.0455,0.044,0.0445,0.043,0.043,0.043,0.044,0.0445,0.045,0.039,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824125","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-140-164","question":"Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"140-164","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0145,0.9855],"probability":0.0145,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1550.053285,"volume_24hr":1550.053285,"prob_24h_change":-0.0055,"volume_24h_change":1550.053285,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.663652420043945,"normalized_volume":15.835492134094238,"liquidity":5288.59323,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T06:33:15.976982Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T06:33:15.976982Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-140-164","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.1245,0.0275,0.027,0.022,0.022,0.0215,0.022,0.016,0.015,0.0145,0.015,0.015,0.0145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824126","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-165-189","question":"Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"165-189","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":44.956571000000004,"volume_24hr":44.956571,"prob_24h_change":-0.013000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":44.956571,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.423525810241699,"normalized_volume":4.298562526702881,"liquidity":5305.76135,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.941144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:22:23.941144Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-165-189","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.055,0.02,0.02,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.0065,0.007]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824129","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-215-239","question":"Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"215-239","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-17T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":22.689999999999998,"volume_24hr":32.69,"prob_24h_change":-0.010499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":22.689999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.423664093017578,"normalized_volume":2.9390716552734375,"liquidity":4810.65074,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T06:09:11.515493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T06:09:11.515493Z","added_at":"2026-10-17T16:33:38.583697Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-215-239","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0155,0.021,0.016,0.016,0.006,0.0055,0.005,0.0045,0.005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5824130","event_id":"1205854","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-19-october-21-2026-240plus","question":"Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"240+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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