{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1211791","as_of":"2026-10-18T19:08:07.488313Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"France declares state of emergency by...?\" — 3 markets; highest \"December 31\" at 18% as of 2026-10-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1211791","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1211791","ticker":"france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt","slug":"france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt","title":"France declares state of emergency by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTo count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a \"state of emergency\" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence).\n\nOnly declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count.\n\nA declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify.\n\nA declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the \"Urgence attentat\" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-18T13:59:10Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11359.45806,"volume_24hr":11259.458059999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.22683334350586,"normalized_volume":19.80703353881836,"liquidity":38362.32775,"open_interest":4232.188978,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100349","slug":"protests","label":"Protests"},{"id":"106387","slug":"france-riots","label":"France Riots"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.175,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.325,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4109.67369,"updated_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.239226Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.239226Z","added_at":"2026-10-18T14:06:56.776115Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,665.516128,4950.251198,5762.071198,5919.999061,6935.683183,11259.458059999999],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5880782","event_id":"1211791","slug":"france-declares-state-of-emergency-by-december-31-2026","question":"France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTo count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a \"state of emergency\" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence).\n\nOnly declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count.\n\nA declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify.\n\nA declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the \"Urgence attentat\" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-18T13:59:12Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3958.6836900000003,"volume_24hr":4109.67369,"prob_24h_change":-0.325,"volume_24h_change":4109.67369,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.839141845703125,"normalized_volume":20.133529663085938,"liquidity":11712.7396,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.498033Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.498033Z","added_at":"2026-10-18T14:06:56.862961Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt/france-declares-state-of-emergency-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"France declares state of emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.265,0.19,0.245,0.235,0.235,0.185,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5880781","event_id":"1211791","slug":"france-declares-state-of-emergency-by-october-31-2026","question":"France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTo count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a \"state of emergency\" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence).\n\nOnly declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count.\n\nA declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify.\n\nA declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the \"Urgence attentat\" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-18T13:59:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1590.907675,"volume_24hr":1740.907675,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1740.907675,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.782007217407227,"normalized_volume":15.947769165039062,"liquidity":11851.7165,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.498033Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.498033Z","added_at":"2026-10-18T14:06:56.862961Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt/france-declares-state-of-emergency-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"France declares state of emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.255,0.185,0.165,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5880780","event_id":"1211791","slug":"france-declares-state-of-emergency-by-october-21-2026","question":"France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 21","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTo count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a \"state of emergency\" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence).\n\nOnly declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count.\n\nA declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify.\n\nA declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the \"Urgence attentat\" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-curfew-by-DUjbwhNELlln.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0335,0.9665],"probability":0.0335,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-18T13:59:10Z","end_date":"2026-10-22T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5809.866695000001,"volume_24hr":5811.206895,"prob_24h_change":-0.4665,"volume_24h_change":5811.206895,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.035005569458008,"normalized_volume":22.041156768798828,"liquidity":14732.44641,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.498033Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T18:59:29.498033Z","added_at":"2026-10-18T14:06:56.862961Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-declares-state-of-emergency-byptptpt/france-declares-state-of-emergency-by-october-21-2026","event_title":"France declares state of emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.26,0.105,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.065,0.0335]}]}