{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1212478","as_of":"2026-10-19T20:19:06.463032Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?\" — 50% as of 2026-10-19 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1212478","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1212478","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-18T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12013.048159,"volume_24hr":12025.738260000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.917232513427734,"normalized_volume":20.044591903686523,"liquidity":34073.1154,"open_interest":11162.960401,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.495,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12013.975907000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T20:13:33.019386Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T20:13:33.019386Z","added_at":"2026-10-18T16:10:06.971241Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026","chart_24h":[11.762353000000001,11.762353000000001,11.762353000000001,11.762353000000001,13.723138,13.723138,13.723137999999999,13.723138,13.723138,13.723138,53.723138,58.723138,58.723138,188.723138,188.723138,192.644707,438.527061,478.527061,2965.517438,4142.174301,4187.671208,4892.539859,5144.841964,12025.738260000002],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5889721","event_id":"1212478","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-18T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":12013.048159,"volume_24hr":12025.738260000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":12013.975907000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.58498001098633,"normalized_volume":25.89010238647461,"liquidity":41478.9397,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T20:13:33.268861Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T20:13:33.268861Z","added_at":"2026-10-18T16:10:07.078724Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.485,0.51,0.545,0.555,0.495,0.515,0.495]}]}