{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1219708","as_of":"2026-10-21T09:55:33.174763Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?\" — 8% as of 2026-10-21 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1219708","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1219708","ticker":"luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026","slug":"luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026","title":"Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Luke Campbell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-arrest-luke-campbell-810b9f57ad.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-arrest-luke-campbell-810b9f57ad.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T20:13:03Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2522.612609,"volume_24hr":2522.612609,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.863937377929688,"normalized_volume":13.937397003173828,"liquidity":13786.8344,"open_interest":1783.05,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"734","slug":"uk","label":"UK"},{"id":"100228","slug":"england","label":"England"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104455","slug":"reform-uk","label":"Reform UK"},{"id":"1372","slug":"united-kingdom","label":"United Kingdom"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.235,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2522.612609,"updated_at":"2026-10-21T09:42:51.824795Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T09:42:51.824795Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T20:35:57.368040Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,2302.612609,2322.612609,2322.612609,2322.612609,2322.612609,2322.612609,2322.612609,2402.612609,2422.612609,2522.612609,2522.612609,2522.612609,2522.612609,2522.612609,2522.612609],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5939086","event_id":"1219708","slug":"luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026","question":"Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Luke Campbell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-arrest-luke-campbell-810b9f57ad.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uk-arrest-luke-campbell-810b9f57ad.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-19T20:13:03Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2522.612609,"volume_24hr":2522.612609,"prob_24h_change":-0.235,"volume_24h_change":2522.612609,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.83980369567871,"normalized_volume":18.00337791442871,"liquidity":14226.4658,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T05:44:29.145523Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T05:44:29.145523Z","added_at":"2026-10-19T20:35:57.496258Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026/luke-campbell-arrested-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.335,0.32,0.31,0.315,0.27,0.26,0.255,0.09,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085]}]}