{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1226870","as_of":"2026-10-22T07:49:11.095344Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?\" — \"475k to 500k\" leads at 24% across 9 outcomes as of 2026-10-22 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1226870","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1226870","ticker":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026","title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3955.768036,"volume_24hr":2812.458036,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.527130126953125,"normalized_volume":15.51018238067627,"liquidity":1845.31888,"open_interest":722.266973,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"104548","slug":"kpis","label":"KPIs"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"728","slug":"tesla","label":"Tesla"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"475k to 500k","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":158.797214,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:50.928691Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:50.928691Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.864802Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026","chart_24h":[965.98,1006.08,1006.08,1006.08,1046.18,1086.28,1346.38,1570.435728,1610.435728,1750.4357280000002,1808.066838,1808.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,1848.066838,2210.338125,2210.338125,2210.338125,2197.114985,2197.114985,2211.114985,2201.114985,2241.114985,2543.114985,2239.114985,1945.1349850000001],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999361","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-475k-to-500k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"475k to 500k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":650.777214,"volume_24hr":404.787214,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":158.797214,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.781511306762695,"normalized_volume":11.847475051879883,"liquidity":259.7141,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-475k-to-500k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.36,0.18,0.195,0.205,0.15,0.165,0.22,0.22,0.185,0.305,0.145,0.21,0.215,0.215,0.28,0.215,0.21,0.24,0.235,0.235,0.205,0.205,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999358","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-400k-to-425k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"400k to 425k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":544.35,"volume_24hr":299.02,"prob_24h_change":0.11000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":231.01999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.234386444091797,"normalized_volume":11.650005340576172,"liquidity":324.5696,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-400k-to-425k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.095,0.095,0.375,0.235,0.155,0.14,0.175,0.185,0.155,0.16,0.165,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.41,0.21,0.185,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.175,0.25,0.245,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999363","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-525k-to-550k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"525k to 550k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1555,0.8445],"probability":0.1555,"spread":0.089,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":384.652184,"volume_24hr":316.652184,"prob_24h_change":0.152,"volume_24h_change":248.65218399999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.52084732055664,"normalized_volume":10.404048919677734,"liquidity":156.22076,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-525k-to-550k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.34,0.165,0.115,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.033,0.2405,0.0605,0.2295,0.1355,0.06,0.06,0.1015,0.0555,0.061,0.0615,0.073,0.156,0.353,0.3575,0.186,0.115,0.12,0.1635,0.164,0.1545]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999362","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-500k-to-525k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"500k to 525k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":298.239076,"volume_24hr":192.239076,"prob_24h_change":0.0049999999999999906,"volume_24h_change":86.23907600000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.123348236083984,"normalized_volume":9.53646183013916,"liquidity":148.647,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-500k-to-525k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.115,0.08,0.085,0.35,0.12,0.125,0.14,0.115,0.115,0.12,0.125,0.13,0.285,0.145,0.145,0.115,0.14,0.145,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.295,0.155,0.16,0.145,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999360","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-450k-to-475k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"450k to 475k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":379.81,"volume_24hr":281.80999999999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":183.80999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.94106674194336,"normalized_volume":10.359944343566895,"liquidity":247.2109,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:27:20.167178Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:27:20.167178Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-450k-to-475k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.185,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.125,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.265,0.155,0.15,0.135,0.085,0.13,0.09,0.085,0.145,0.16,0.255,0.15,0.085,0.085,0.145,0.11,0.12,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999367","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-575k-or-more","question":"Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"575k+","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":492.64111,"volume_24hr":316.65111,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":140.66111,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.520830154418945,"normalized_volume":11.284567832946777,"liquidity":167.1982,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-575k-or-more","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.175,0.145,0.145,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.095,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.065,0.095,0.065,0.1,0.06,0.065,0.135,0.065,0.17,0.125,0.135,0.06,0.06,0.105,0.135,0.115,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999359","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-425k-to-450k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"425k to 450k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":267.12,"volume_24hr":199.12,"prob_24h_change":-0.0049999999999999906,"volume_24h_change":131.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.285050392150879,"normalized_volume":9.172647476196289,"liquidity":191.5812,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:48:51.170401Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-425k-to-450k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.195,0.15,0.155,0.085,0.085,0.09,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.115,0.12,0.315,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.105,0.105,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999357","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-less-than-400k","question":"Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"<400k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0465,0.9535],"probability":0.0465,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":731.158452,"volume_24hr":663.158452,"prob_24h_change":-0.028499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":595.158452,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.47701072692871,"normalized_volume":12.764655113220215,"liquidity":392.78326,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:27:20.167178Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:27:20.167178Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-less-than-400k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.13,0.09,0.365,0.085,0.195,0.235,0.245,0.225,0.165,0.23,0.235,0.185,0.185,0.18,0.14,0.225,0.215,0.105,0.06,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.046,0.0465,0.0465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5999365","event_id":"1226870","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-550k-to-575k","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 550000 and 575000 vehicles in Q4 2026","group_item_title":"550k to 575k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:11:52Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":207.01999999999998,"volume_24hr":139.01999999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.0795,"volume_24h_change":71.01999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.68489933013916,"normalized_volume":8.35883617401123,"liquidity":319.23085,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T07:27:20.167178Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T07:27:20.167178Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:18:35.884586Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q4-2026-550k-to-575k","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.085,0.1,0.11,0.35,0.335,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.045,0.055,0.055,0.033,0.0695,0.1175,0.227,0.12,0.0605,0.052,0.1285,0.054,0.045,0.1045,0.0525,0.06,0.2405,0.126,0.1005,0.033,0.0545,0.051,0.051,0.006]}]}