{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1226915","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:19:05.931338Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?\" — 6% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1226915","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1226915","ticker":"france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027","slug":"france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027","title":"France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:24:28Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":856.854648,"volume_24hr":247.949263,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.60523796081543,"normalized_volume":10.361469268798828,"liquidity":7371.06541,"open_interest":572.599274,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0595,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.019999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-102.96720200000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:00:38.777879Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T07:00:38.777879Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:39:41.769612Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027","chart_24h":[350.916465,350.916465,407.663325,407.663325,407.663325,407.663325,407.663325,407.663325,407.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,428.663325,443.588699,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,579.7136989999999,267.949263,247.949263],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6000208","event_id":"1226915","slug":"france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027","question":"France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0595,0.9405],"probability":0.0595,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T00:24:28Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":856.854648,"volume_24hr":247.949263,"prob_24h_change":0.019999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-102.96720200000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.02454948425293,"normalized_volume":13.385241508483887,"liquidity":7404.28448,"categories":["World","Economy","Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:36:28.843117Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:36:28.843117Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T00:39:41.804846Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027/france-defaults-on-debt-by-december-31-2027","event_title":"France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.035,0.0545,0.055,0.06,0.0595,0.0585,0.0685,0.073,0.0675,0.0635,0.0625,0.062,0.0615,0.0605,0.0605,0.0595]}]}