{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1230606","as_of":"2026-10-22T04:33:05.711029Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?\" — 7 markets; highest \"Druzkhivka\" at 75% as of 2026-10-22 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1230606","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1230606","ticker":"which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027","slug":"which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027","title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the specified city or settlement between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:28Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3228.1428300000002,"volume_24hr":3275.59283,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.334674835205078,"normalized_volume":14.82844352722168,"liquidity":4983.7302,"open_interest":1488.3148039999999,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"102486","slug":"ukraine-map","label":"Ukraine Map"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Druzkhivka","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.415,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1333.694346,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.576142Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.576142Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.726483Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,178.834929,370.66243000000003,451.52243000000004,1524.66243,1804.66243,2113.9192700000003,2362.9192700000003,2622.705543,2806.405914,2822.405914,2965.345914,3085.695653,3085.695653],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017719","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-druzkhivka-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Druzkhivka","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Druzkhivka (48.61631417285371° N, 37.528161462381036° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/cH9ekgbf9qbxGPUk6) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:28Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1333.6943460000002,"volume_24hr":1333.694346,"prob_24h_change":0.415,"volume_24h_change":1333.694346,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.55668830871582,"normalized_volume":15.194476127624512,"liquidity":990.2232,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-druzkhivka-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.335,0.305,0.285,0.35,0.725,0.745,0.7,0.69,0.705,0.7,0.755,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017720","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-kramatorsk-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Kramatorsk","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kramatorsk (48.73714435420954° N, 37.589106045927714° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/TVY1bAwoc98W2L949) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:28Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":580.340371,"volume_24hr":580.340371,"prob_24h_change":0.20499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":580.340371,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.64739227294922,"normalized_volume":11.887510299682617,"liquidity":1126.2323,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T02:14:39.291180Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T02:14:39.291180Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-kramatorsk-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.64,0.455,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017717","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-sloviansk-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Sloviansk","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sloviansk (48.853751256046095° N, 37.60508085394494° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kx9MMw32sFDPUt8f9) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:28Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":655.298506,"volume_24hr":655.298506,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":655.298506,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.32627296447754,"normalized_volume":12.344813346862793,"liquidity":1464.825,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-sloviansk-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.165,0.17,0.195,0.2,0.375,0.39,0.315,0.61,0.455,0.465,0.465,0.455,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017723","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-zaporizhia-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Zaporizhia","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the city of Zaporizhia (47.8423587068344° N, 35.15074278438932° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/Gezpp2b4SDnefJ5s9) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:30Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":554.745791,"volume_24hr":602.195791,"prob_24h_change":-0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":503.360862,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.85262107849121,"normalized_volume":11.719931602478027,"liquidity":310.3008,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-zaporizhia-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.165,0.215,0.215,0.21,0.215,0.2,0.195,0.205,0.255,0.215,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017722","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-kherson-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Kherson","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the city of Kherson (46.635370032120804° N, 32.61934931669168° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/zwgqUcSNzfHfgTBy9) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:30Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":41.063816,"volume_24hr":41.063816,"prob_24h_change":0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":41.063816,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.089650630950928,"normalized_volume":4.102066993713379,"liquidity":147.3455,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-kherson-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.105,0.12,0.125,0.16,0.165,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017718","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-sumy-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Sumy","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sumy (50.92932978689303° N, 34.81107584134934° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/qjS5sPf9YgTRYDii6) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:28Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":63.0,"volume_24hr":63.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":63.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.5334038734436035,"normalized_volume":5.0745978355407715,"liquidity":829.8933,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T03:44:34.959009Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T03:44:34.959009Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-sumy-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.06,0.075,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6017721","event_id":"1230606","slug":"will-russia-enter-kharkiv-by-june-30-2027","question":"Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"Kharkiv","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kharkiv (50.00429983749034° N, 36.31810952195039° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/m484AfKV3TTS8nB68) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T17:22:30Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":453.7573,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T04:27:49.651572Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T17:47:51.757316Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-2027/will-russia-enter-kharkiv-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.085,0.07,0.06,0.075]}]}