{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1232341","as_of":"2026-10-22T23:49:10.483661Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Spain General Election: Álava Winner\" — \"PSOE\" leads at 60% across 8 outcomes as of 2026-10-22 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1232341","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1232341","ticker":"spain-general-election-alava-winner","slug":"spain-general-election-alava-winner","title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spainflagcrestcentre-241f86d478.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spainflagcrestcentre-241f86d478.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1858.519929,"volume_24hr":1858.519929,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.624757766723633,"normalized_volume":12.871370315551758,"liquidity":43991.09131,"open_interest":1076.644348,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"1382","slug":"spain","label":"Spain"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"106304","slug":"spain-elections","label":"Spain Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"PSOE","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.35,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":345.443262,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.197716Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.197716Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.914883Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.0,80.0,140.0,923.21,1293.41,1313.51,1316.176664,1316.176664,1316.176664,1316.176664,1318.816664,1505.983331,1525.983331,1525.983331,1525.983331,1545.983331,1545.983331,1545.983331,1572.663331,1730.519929,1825.519929,1825.519929,1825.519929,1838.519929],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029446","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-psoe-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"PSOE","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-psoe-99bb5820c4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-psoe-99bb5820c4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":345.443262,"volume_24hr":345.443262,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":345.443262,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.34693431854248,"normalized_volume":10.032777786254883,"liquidity":20630.9817,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-psoe-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.38,0.285,0.555,0.715,0.695,0.53,0.685,0.64,0.65,0.605,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.665,0.595,0.695,0.67,0.625,0.645,0.645,0.645,0.63,0.645,0.615]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029445","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-pp-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"PP","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-pp-d0f8023be4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-pp-d0f8023be4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":107.6,"volume_24hr":107.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.17999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":107.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.861953735351562,"normalized_volume":6.4470720291137695,"liquidity":682.2269,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-pp-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.35,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.38,0.39,0.235,0.2,0.21,0.215,0.41,0.155,0.16,0.165,0.18,0.15,0.115,0.265,0.265,0.15,0.155,0.165,0.19,0.165,0.15,0.145,0.155,0.115,0.165,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029462","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-eh-bildu-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"EH Bildu","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-bildu-d43c8e45d5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-bildu-d43c8e45d5.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":121.7,"volume_24hr":121.7,"prob_24h_change":-0.17999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":121.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.382267951965332,"normalized_volume":6.7872185707092285,"liquidity":261.6635,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-eh-bildu-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.35,0.24,0.26,0.165,0.27,0.195,0.28,0.21,0.285,0.255,0.19,0.26,0.145,0.18,0.19,0.185,0.29,0.155,0.5,0.305,0.42,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.205,0.275,0.185,0.175,0.27,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029459","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-pnv-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will PNV win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"PNV","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-pnv-397389ff2d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-pnv-397389ff2d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":88.6,"volume_24hr":88.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":88.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.069360733032227,"normalized_volume":5.928928852081299,"liquidity":341.1948,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-pnv-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.255,0.26,0.165,0.26,0.165,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.245,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.065,0.19,0.11,0.075,0.115,0.25,0.155,0.245,0.07,0.235,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.175,0.135,0.195,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029450","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-vox-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will Vox win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"Vox","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-vox-d8444e6bfa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-vox-d8444e6bfa.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0505,0.9495],"probability":0.0505,"spread":0.095,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":585.8,"volume_24hr":585.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.1995,"volume_24h_change":585.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.23752784729004,"normalized_volume":11.922450065612793,"liquidity":868.80308,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T23:35:42.472995Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-vox-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.265,0.26,0.155,0.265,0.185,0.11,0.125,0.125,0.09,0.07,0.056,0.05,0.0505,0.0485,0.046,0.0435,0.05,0.048,0.046,0.044,0.042,0.052,0.05,0.0465,0.0435,0.05,0.0475,0.0435,0.0415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029453","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-broad-front-fa-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"Broad Front (FA)","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-fa-5e53c8616d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-fa-5e53c8616d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0325,0.9675],"probability":0.0325,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":340.61,"volume_24hr":340.61,"prob_24h_change":-0.3175,"volume_24h_change":340.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.273279190063477,"normalized_volume":9.984627723693848,"liquidity":10191.1937,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T19:43:21.977064Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T19:43:21.977064Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-broad-front-fa-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.35,0.24,0.25,0.245,0.105,0.38,0.39,0.195,0.205,0.205,0.195,0.075,0.04,0.0395,0.0385,0.038,0.0375,0.0345,0.034,0.0335,0.0325,0.0325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029456","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-podemos-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will Podemos win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"Podemos","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-podemos-eceb5e25ec.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-podemos-eceb5e25ec.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.033,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-21T23:32:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":268.766667,"volume_24hr":268.766667,"prob_24h_change":-0.2235,"volume_24h_change":268.766667,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.061956405639648,"normalized_volume":9.192747116088867,"liquidity":10520.63264,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T22:50:11.612240Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T22:50:11.612240Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-podemos-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.265,0.26,0.155,0.09,0.155,0.115,0.105,0.125,0.065,0.075,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.115,0.0295,0.029,0.0285,0.028,0.0275,0.027,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6029520","event_id":"1232341","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","question":"Will another party win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nSeats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:\n\nPSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.\n\nPP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.\n\nBroad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.\n\nERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.\n\nPodemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.\n\nCCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.\n\nAny other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.\n\nElectoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-flag-539fc18e0a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/es26-flag-539fc18e0a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","added_at":"2026-10-21T23:48:49.994650Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/spain-general-election-alava-winner/will-another-party-win-the-most-seats-in-alava-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election","event_title":"Spain General Election: Álava Winner","chart_24h":null}]}