{"source":"polymarket","id":"125443","ticker":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","slug":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T19:41:27.902040Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":179829.02291600005,"volume_24hr":242.36999999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.594425201416016,"normalized_volume":33.29154586791992,"liquidity":17542.1428,"open_interest":39001.918372,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101794","slug":"foreign-policy","label":"Foreign Policy"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.116,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.029999999999999985,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-446.7099999999999,"updated_at":"2026-09-19T23:28:32.153698Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T23:28:32.153698Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","chart_24h":[689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,689.0799999999999,72.0,72.0,0.0,0.0,20.7,20.7,20.7,20.7,242.36999999999998,242.36999999999998,242.36999999999998,242.36999999999998],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1029715","event_id":"125443","slug":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.116,0.884],"probability":0.116,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T19:41:27.902040Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":179829.02291600005,"volume_24hr":242.36999999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.029999999999999985,"volume_24h_change":-446.7099999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.699542045593262,"normalized_volume":42.95386505126953,"liquidity":17487.3904,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States","Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T23:28:32.888796Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T23:28:32.888796Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.146,0.147,0.146,0.1465,0.145,0.148,0.147,0.147,0.1455,0.1425,0.1435,0.1435,0.133,0.1385,0.143,0.143,0.1425,0.1445,0.1445,0.1445,0.1375,0.145,0.145,0.1445,0.145,0.145,0.1215,0.12,0.116,0.116]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/125443","as_of":"2026-09-19T23:51:20.684343Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?\" — top market at 12% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}