{"source":"polymarket","id":"125443","ticker":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","slug":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T19:44:22.775427Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":155917.35321700005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.378061294555664,"liquidity":7740.31778,"open_interest":36179.231474,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101794","slug":"foreign-policy","label":"Foreign Policy"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.109,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-110.19,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:52:17.070269Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:52:17.070269Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","chart_24h":[110.19,110.19,110.19,110.19,100.0,100.0,100.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1029715","event_id":"125443","slug":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.109,0.891],"probability":0.109,"spread":0.056,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T19:41:27.902040Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":155917.35321700005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-110.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.673641204833984,"liquidity":13380.86458,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States","Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:54:45.984230Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:52:17.498154Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.111,0.1145,0.102,0.106,0.099,0.1035,0.123,0.1085,0.1215,0.122,0.0985,0.0965,0.1005,0.117,0.1165,0.112,0.1,0.1015,0.103,0.111,0.112,0.093,0.1165,0.1125,0.1075,0.109,0.1085,0.111,0.121,0.1215,0.107,0.1095,0.114,0.109]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/125443","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:05:34.621654Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?\" — top market at 11% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}