{"source":"polymarket","id":"125443","ticker":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","slug":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T19:41:27.902040Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":169165.82183699994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.659645080566406,"normalized_volume":33.028106689453125,"liquidity":13161.9172,"open_interest":36948.708652,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101794","slug":"foreign-policy","label":"Foreign Policy"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.007000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-842.36,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T18:50:43.531116Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T18:50:43.531116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","chart_24h":[922.08,922.08,922.08,922.08,922.0799999999999,922.08,922.0799999999999,922.0799999999999,922.0799999999999,922.08,922.08,922.08,922.0799999999999,922.08,922.08,922.0799999999999,922.0799999999999,922.0799999999999,922.08,922.0799999999999,922.08,790.89,790.89,790.89,789.47,39.86],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1029715","event_id":"125443","slug":"will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","question":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-2025-X57XLWPjjeYh.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0815,0.9185],"probability":0.0815,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T19:41:27.902040Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":169165.82183699994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.007000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-842.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.153369903564453,"normalized_volume":42.52096176147461,"liquidity":13070.26107,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States","Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T18:50:45.675712Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T18:50:45.675712Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","event_title":"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.078,0.0785,0.079,0.0795,0.0795,0.0795,0.08,0.08,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.081,0.081,0.0815,0.0815,0.082,0.081,0.0815,0.0815,0.0815,0.082,0.0815,0.0815,0.0815,0.0815]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/125443","as_of":"2026-08-05T18:55:27.894638Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?\" — top market at 8% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}