{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1261628","as_of":"2026-10-27T21:47:45.389980Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory\" — \"Other\" leads at 50% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-27 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1261628","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1261628","ticker":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":186.33999999999997,"volume_24hr":186.34,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.424038887023926,"normalized_volume":6.218694686889648,"liquidity":1055.41822,"open_interest":173.13,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.803704Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.803704Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.488883Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,111.42,131.42,186.34],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264888","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-3-or-more-20261021154359891","question":"Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?","group_item_title":"Likud 3%+","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6682240962982178,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":20.5279,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-3-or-more-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.235,0.24,0.245,0.24,0.245,0.455,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.235,0.24,0.245,0.195,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.225,0.215,0.43,0.21,0.215,0.22,0.435,0.44,0.46,0.45]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264889","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-together-20261021154359891","question":"Will Together win the Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Together","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-together-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-Pk1Ki4KIE9MC.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-together-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-Pk1Ki4KIE9MC.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.131,0.869],"probability":0.131,"spread":0.258,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":166.33999999999997,"volume_24hr":166.34,"prob_24h_change":-0.043999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":166.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.37437915802002,"normalized_volume":7.691176891326904,"liquidity":51.41013,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-together-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.175,0.18,0.175,0.17,0.045,0.1185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264890","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-other-20261021154359891","question":"Will another party win the Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-other-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264881","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-less-than-1-20261021154359891","question":"Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by less than 1%?","group_item_title":"Yashar <1%","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":114.2939,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-less-than-1-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.455,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.43,0.435,0.435,0.45,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.455]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264882","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-1-2-20261021154359891","question":"Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by 1-2%?","group_item_title":"Yashar 1-2%","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":153.6165,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:16:39.552226Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:16:39.552226Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-1-2-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.46,0.455,0.44,0.43,0.435,0.43,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.44,0.405,0.385,0.4,0.395,0.39,0.395,0.405,0.405,0.45,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264884","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-3-or-more-20261021154359891","question":"Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?","group_item_title":"Yashar 3%+","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":121.4657,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T20:27:08.769537Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T20:27:08.769537Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-3-or-more-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.445,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.435,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.435,0.45,0.46,0.435,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264886","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-1-2-20261021154359891","question":"Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 1-2%?","group_item_title":"Likud 1-2%","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.255,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":154.9361,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-1-2-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.18,0.335,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.175,0.18,0.335,0.18,0.175,0.175,0.335,0.335,0.225,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264885","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-less-than-1-20261021154359891","question":"Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by less than 1%?","group_item_title":"Likud <1%","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":165.6725,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:41:52.948584Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-less-than-1-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.23,0.235,0.225,0.22,0.225,0.435,0.225,0.225,0.22,0.225,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.205,0.42,0.405,0.38,0.215,0.215,0.225,0.22,0.42,0.22,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264887","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-2-3-20261021154359891","question":"Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 2-3%?","group_item_title":"Likud 2-3%","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":128.1968,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T21:16:39.552226Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T21:16:39.552226Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-likud-2-3-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.23,0.235,0.245,0.235,0.235,0.245,0.235,0.245,0.235,0.235,0.22,0.215,0.235,0.215,0.42,0.215,0.215,0.215,0.405,0.4,0.21,0.42,0.21,0.45,0.425,0.19,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264883","event_id":"1261628","slug":"israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-2-3-20261021154359891","question":"Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by 2-3%?","group_item_title":"Yashar 2-3%","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.\n\nIf the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Together wins the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Together”. If any party other than Likud, Yashar, or Together wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yasahr-5c7ade054d.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:34:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.11000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":127.8021,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T20:27:08.769537Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T20:27:08.769537Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israeli-legislative-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory-yashar-2-3-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israeli Legislative Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.46,0.455,0.435,0.43,0.435,0.425,0.435,0.42,0.43,0.405,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.395,0.405,0.405,0.4,0.35]}]}