{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1261629","as_of":"2026-10-27T22:36:36.133165Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory\" — \"Other\" leads at 50% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-27 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1261629","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1261629","ticker":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1610.7461680000001,"volume_24hr":1565.746168,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.602489471435547,"normalized_volume":12.385679244995117,"liquidity":1952.56186,"open_interest":887.9629820000001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.101699Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.101699Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.488883Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","chart_24h":[45.0,45.0,45.0,45.0,153.0,173.0,236.125,236.125,236.125,236.125,236.125,236.125,236.125,236.125,236.125,256.125,426.125,446.125,521.7226,578.864752,860.387944,878.387944,898.387944,910.387944,1180.387944,1180.387944,1180.387944,1352.146893,1486.546893,1527.926893],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264897","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-3-4-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?","group_item_title":"Opposition 3-4 seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":215.373892,"volume_24hr":215.37389199999998,"prob_24h_change":0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":215.37389199999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.44191837310791,"normalized_volume":8.482610702514648,"liquidity":343.5459,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-3-4-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.185,0.195,0.235,0.255,0.205,0.195,0.225,0.225,0.22,0.215,0.185,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.155,0.26,0.22,0.415,0.405,0.315,0.345,0.365,0.305,0.31,0.38,0.335,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264893","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-3-4-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?","group_item_title":"Bibi 3-4 seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":33.93,"volume_24hr":33.93,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":33.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.9968061447143555,"normalized_volume":3.7044453620910645,"liquidity":347.912,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:05:56.230464Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:05:56.230464Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-3-4-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.1,0.11,0.145,0.105,0.14,0.15,0.095,0.15,0.135,0.125,0.125,0.145,0.165,0.105,0.16,0.155,0.14,0.16,0.165,0.155,0.135,0.09,0.085,0.135,0.105,0.1,0.31]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264894","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-1-2-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?","group_item_title":"Bibi 1-2 seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.305,0.695],"probability":0.305,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":96.93,"volume_24hr":51.93,"prob_24h_change":0.065,"volume_24h_change":6.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.234091758728027,"normalized_volume":6.165741920471191,"liquidity":403.2514,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-1-2-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.24,0.34,0.34,0.345,0.28,0.255,0.275,0.165,0.25,0.25,0.165,0.185,0.225,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.145,0.155,0.045,0.165,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.12,0.145,0.15,0.155,0.31]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264896","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-1-2-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?","group_item_title":"Opposition 1-2 seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":145.225076,"volume_24hr":145.225076,"prob_24h_change":0.06499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":145.225076,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.834979057312012,"normalized_volume":7.291285991668701,"liquidity":92.47,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-1-2-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.225,0.225,0.245,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.165,0.26,0.3,0.185,0.27,0.195,0.285,0.345,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264898","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-5-6-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?","group_item_title":"Opposition 5-6 seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":288.087645,"volume_24hr":288.087645,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":288.087645,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.708155632019043,"normalized_volume":9.421351432800293,"liquidity":129.1019,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-5-6-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.12,0.25,0.185,0.24,0.22,0.195,0.185,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.41,0.265,0.21,0.215,0.215,0.25,0.205,0.21,0.22,0.195,0.365,0.26,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264895","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-tie-20261021154359891","question":"Will the Israeli election end in a bloc seat tie?","group_item_title":"Tie","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":59.83,"volume_24hr":59.83,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":59.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.6787614822387695,"normalized_volume":4.9513840675354,"liquidity":63.0128,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-tie-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.265,0.13,0.145,0.145,0.14,0.165,0.21,0.135,0.32,0.225,0.135,0.13,0.26,0.13,0.195,0.18,0.1,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264892","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-5-6-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?","group_item_title":"Bibi 5-6 seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.33,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":33.93,"volume_24hr":33.93,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":33.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.9968061447143555,"normalized_volume":3.7044453620910645,"liquidity":26.2,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:30:10.292745Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-5-6-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.165,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.165,0.105,0.13,0.095,0.115,0.125,0.065,0.08,0.065,0.12,0.13,0.175,0.12,0.135,0.32,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264891","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-7-or-more-seats-20261021154359891","question":"Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?","group_item_title":"Bibi 7+ seats","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-26T20:35:14Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":171.50955499999998,"volume_24hr":171.50955499999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.145,"volume_24h_change":171.50955499999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.498042106628418,"normalized_volume":7.782855987548828,"liquidity":14.8,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:05:56.230464Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:05:56.230464Z","added_at":"2026-10-26T20:43:40.567156Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-7-or-more-seats-20261021154359891","event_title":"Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.185,0.195,0.175,0.205,0.185,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.195,0.21,0.155,0.21,0.13,0.31,0.315,0.22,0.22,0.245,0.275,0.25,0.195,0.155,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6264900","event_id":"1261629","slug":"israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-other-20261021154359891","question":"Will the Israeli election bloc seat margin resolve to Other?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).\n\nThe Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nThe margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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