{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1266253","as_of":"2026-10-28T00:44:57.023169Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Israeli government formed by...?\" — 4 markets; highest \"June 30, 2027\" at 86% as of 2026-10-28 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1266253","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1266253","ticker":"next-israeli-government-formed-by","slug":"next-israeli-government-formed-by","title":"Next Israeli government formed by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.\n\nOnly a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T14:07:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4222.227211,"volume_24hr":4222.227211,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.96506118774414,"normalized_volume":15.82748794555664,"liquidity":23365.3113,"open_interest":2312.899597,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.855,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.235,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":693.426517,"updated_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.184965Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.184965Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T14:19:44.237991Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by","chart_24h":[25.0,340.43091,515.43091,765.821538,1764.3901740000001,1808.2596250000001,1930.639625,2346.209969,2981.042697,3047.834364,3924.934959,4137.227211,4222.227211],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6299701","event_id":"1266253","slug":"next-israeli-government-formed-by-june-30-2027","question":"Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.\n\nOnly a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.855,0.145],"probability":0.855,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T14:07:04Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":698.4265169999999,"volume_24hr":698.426517,"prob_24h_change":0.235,"volume_24h_change":693.426517,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.648849487304688,"normalized_volume":12.588250160217285,"liquidity":1196.0656,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.356531Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.356531Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T14:19:45.932639Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by/next-israeli-government-formed-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Next Israeli government formed by...?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.67,0.675,0.68,0.685,0.685,0.79,0.73,0.735,0.82,0.86,0.855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6299700","event_id":"1266253","slug":"next-israeli-government-formed-by-february-28-2027","question":"Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?","group_item_title":"February 28, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.\n\nOnly a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.595,0.405],"probability":0.595,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T14:07:04Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1174.247873,"volume_24hr":1174.247873,"prob_24h_change":0.16499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":1174.247873,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.391517639160156,"normalized_volume":14.661991119384766,"liquidity":20942.4045,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.356531Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.356531Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T14:19:45.932639Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by/next-israeli-government-formed-by-february-28-2027","event_title":"Next Israeli government formed by...?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.645,0.645,0.555,0.575,0.565,0.575,0.595,0.595]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6299699","event_id":"1266253","slug":"next-israeli-government-formed-by-december-31-2026","question":"Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.\n\nOnly a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.385,0.615],"probability":0.385,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T14:07:01Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1075.767466,"volume_24hr":1075.767466,"prob_24h_change":-0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1075.767466,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.914363861083984,"normalized_volume":14.301213264465332,"liquidity":815.2135,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T00:09:26.564892Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T00:09:26.564892Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T14:19:45.932639Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by/next-israeli-government-formed-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Next Israeli government formed by...?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.505,0.38,0.4,0.645,0.655,0.63,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.335,0.385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6299698","event_id":"1266253","slug":"next-israeli-government-formed-by-november-30-2026","question":"Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nTo qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.\n\nOnly a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T14:07:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1273.785355,"volume_24hr":1273.785355,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":1253.785355,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.84010124206543,"normalized_volume":15.001166343688965,"liquidity":224.5575,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.356531Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T00:34:48.356531Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T14:19:45.932639Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by/next-israeli-government-formed-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Next Israeli government formed by...?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.17,0.22,0.215,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.175,0.165,0.245]}]}