{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1267455","as_of":"2026-10-28T03:23:20.311985Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?\" — 8% as of 2026-10-28 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1267455","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1267455","ticker":"flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027","slug":"flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027","title":"Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Flávio Bolsonaro is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge's decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as he is held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n\n- Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n- Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n- Being formally booked or processed following detention\n- Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n- Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with his attorney\n- Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention:\n\n- An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n- Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n- Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-charged-or-arrested-by-september-30-20260609144215531-0MRU-7w_dEGF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-charged-or-arrested-by-september-30-20260609144215531-0MRU-7w_dEGF.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T18:30:54Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2762.1190269999997,"volume_24hr":2762.119027,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.10235595703125,"normalized_volume":14.259745597839355,"liquidity":27916.442,"open_interest":931.679027,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"243","slug":"crime","label":"crime"},{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1396","slug":"international-affairs","label":"international affairs"},{"id":"101303","slug":"bolsonaro","label":"Bolsonaro"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2762.119027,"updated_at":"2026-10-28T03:19:37.149333Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T03:19:37.149333Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T18:46:42.317874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,180.0,2445.99,2445.99,2545.99,2545.99,2756.742685,2762.119027,2762.119027,2762.119027],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6317326","event_id":"1267455","slug":"flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027","question":"Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Flávio Bolsonaro is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge's decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as he is held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n\n- Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n- Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n- Being formally booked or processed following detention\n- Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n- Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with his attorney\n- Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention:\n\n- An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n- Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n- Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-charged-or-arrested-by-september-30-20260609144215531-0MRU-7w_dEGF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-charged-or-arrested-by-september-30-20260609144215531-0MRU-7w_dEGF.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T18:30:54Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2762.1190269999997,"volume_24hr":2762.119027,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":2762.119027,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.946819305419922,"normalized_volume":18.42255210876465,"liquidity":25270.4717,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T00:59:26.884883Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T00:59:26.884883Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T18:46:42.355848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027/flavio-bolsonaro-arrested-before-2027","event_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.15,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085]}]}