{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1267487","as_of":"2026-10-27T23:14:26.845870Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?\" — 3 markets; highest \"March 31, 2027\" at 20% as of 2026-10-27 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1267487","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1267487","ticker":"flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by","slug":"flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by","title":"Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"return\" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nIf it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T18:38:27Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23672.57336,"volume_24hr":23942.57336,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.374576568603516,"normalized_volume":23.038358688354492,"liquidity":51726.4589,"open_interest":12062.217309000001,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101303","slug":"bolsonaro","label":"Bolsonaro"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"March 31, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.205,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5796.940286,"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.196039Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.196039Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T18:46:42.317874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by","chart_24h":[0.0,2258.614608,16341.458088,16416.539066999998,18114.337553999998,23942.57336],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6317415","event_id":"1267487","slug":"will-flavio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-march-31-2027","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"March 31, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"return\" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nIf it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T18:38:27Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5796.940285999999,"volume_24hr":5796.940286,"prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":5796.940286,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.55076789855957,"normalized_volume":22.02983283996582,"liquidity":15669.6856,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.251682Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.251682Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T18:46:42.355848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by/will-flavio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-march-31-2027","event_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.28,0.265,0.265,0.265,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6317414","event_id":"1267487","slug":"will-flavio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"return\" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nIf it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T18:38:27Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3616.828158,"volume_24hr":3866.828158,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":3866.828158,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.854249954223633,"normalized_volume":19.697032928466797,"liquidity":16231.6317,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.251682Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.251682Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T18:46:42.355848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by/will-flavio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.125,0.16,0.16,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6317413","event_id":"1267487","slug":"will-flavio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"return\" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nIf it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by-CvidNty5HJB3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T18:38:27Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":14258.804916,"volume_24hr":14278.804916,"prob_24h_change":-0.405,"volume_24h_change":14278.804916,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.01812744140625,"normalized_volume":26.843324661254883,"liquidity":20083.051,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.251682Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T22:54:59.251682Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T18:46:42.355848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-returns-to-brazil-by/will-flavio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.085,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.095]}]}