{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1274101","as_of":"2026-10-29T10:39:25.148872Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Trump declares a national emergency by...?\" — 2 markets; highest \"December 31\" at 32% as of 2026-10-29 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1274101","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-byptptpt-20261027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1274101","ticker":"trump-declares-a-national-emergency-byptptpt-20261027","slug":"trump-declares-a-national-emergency-byptptpt-20261027","title":"Trump declares a national emergency by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify. Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31-nDY049dGNwZu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31-nDY049dGNwZu.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T21:24:24Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":334.426466,"volume_24hr":334.426466,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.249303817749023,"normalized_volume":7.679899215698242,"liquidity":969.9921,"open_interest":334.426466,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"103136","slug":"nea","label":"NEA"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101191","slug":"trump-presidency","label":"Trump Presidency"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.315,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.175,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":114.99999999999999,"updated_at":"2026-10-29T10:23:08.268371Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T10:23:08.268371Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T21:31:46.147384Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-byptptpt-20261027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,3.24,3.24,3.24,3.24,4.416466,13.236466,66.416466,66.416466,72.666466,334.426466],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6364506","event_id":"1274101","slug":"trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by-december-31-2026-20261027","question":"Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify. Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31-nDY049dGNwZu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31-nDY049dGNwZu.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T21:24:24Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":114.99999999999999,"volume_24hr":114.99999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":114.99999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.128125190734863,"normalized_volume":6.629666328430176,"liquidity":388.0372,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T10:23:08.483055Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T10:23:08.483055Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T21:31:46.166960Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-byptptpt-20261027/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by-december-31-2026-20261027","event_title":"Trump declares a national emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.48,0.4,0.395,0.365,0.4,0.405,0.415,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6364504","event_id":"1274101","slug":"trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by-november-30-2026-20261027","question":"Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify.\n\nRenewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify. Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31-nDY049dGNwZu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31-nDY049dGNwZu.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T21:24:24Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":219.426466,"volume_24hr":219.426466,"prob_24h_change":-0.06499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":219.426466,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.76012134552002,"normalized_volume":8.541259765625,"liquidity":581.6049,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T10:23:08.483055Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T10:23:08.483055Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T21:31:46.166960Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-byptptpt-20261027/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by-november-30-2026-20261027","event_title":"Trump declares a national emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.255,0.27,0.265,0.225]}]}