{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1274328","as_of":"2026-11-04T12:00:13.960258Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?\" — 5 markets; highest \"45k+\" at 57% as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1274328","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1274328","ticker":"carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales","slug":"carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales","title":"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?","description":"\"Carnaval de Luz\" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the debut week sales for \"Carnaval de Luz\", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the \"HITS TOP 50\" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled \"Activity\", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T22:29:28Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.05262,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1173824816942215,"liquidity":19.264,"open_interest":1.052619,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"106542","slug":"u2","label":"U2"},{"id":"100","slug":"music","label":"Music"},{"id":"103080","slug":"album","label":"album"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"286","slug":"celebrities","label":"Celebrities"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"45k+","top_outcome_probability":0.575,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T08:19:01.709299Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T08:19:01.709299Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T22:52:06.869926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6366937","event_id":"1274328","slug":"will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-45k","question":"Will \"Carnaval de Luz\" first week sales be at least 45k?","group_item_title":"45k+","description":"\"Carnaval de Luz\" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the debut week sales for \"Carnaval de Luz\", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the \"HITS TOP 50\" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled \"Activity\", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.575,0.425],"probability":0.575,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T22:29:28Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1.05262,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.15172156691551208,"liquidity":4.3366,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T21:40:33.464423Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T21:40:33.464423Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T22:52:06.941270Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales/will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-45k","event_title":"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6366938","event_id":"1274328","slug":"will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-55k","question":"Will \"Carnaval de Luz\" first week sales be at least 55k?","group_item_title":"55k+","description":"\"Carnaval de Luz\" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the debut week sales for \"Carnaval de Luz\", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the \"HITS TOP 50\" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled \"Activity\", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T22:29:30Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2.8799,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T21:25:45.742382Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T21:25:45.742382Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T22:52:06.941270Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales/will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-55k","event_title":"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6366939","event_id":"1274328","slug":"will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-65k","question":"Will \"Carnaval de Luz\" first week sales be at least 65k?","group_item_title":"65k+","description":"\"Carnaval de Luz\" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the debut week sales for \"Carnaval de Luz\", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the \"HITS TOP 50\" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled \"Activity\", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T22:29:30Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":2.8797,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:05.824460Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:05.824460Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T22:52:06.941270Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales/will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-65k","event_title":"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6366941","event_id":"1274328","slug":"will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-85k","question":"Will \"Carnaval de Luz\" first week sales be at least 85k?","group_item_title":"85k+","description":"\"Carnaval de Luz\" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the debut week sales for \"Carnaval de Luz\", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the \"HITS TOP 50\" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled \"Activity\", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T22:29:30Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":4.8794,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T15:29:14.401361Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T15:29:14.401361Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T22:52:06.941270Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales/will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-85k","event_title":"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6366940","event_id":"1274328","slug":"will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-75k","question":"Will \"Carnaval de Luz\" first week sales be at least 75k?","group_item_title":"75k+","description":"\"Carnaval de Luz\" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the debut week sales for \"Carnaval de Luz\", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the \"HITS TOP 50\" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled \"Activity\", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales-GttRIB5Rnoq2.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-28T22:29:30Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":4.2879,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T10:29:16.095607Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T10:29:16.095607Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T22:52:06.941270Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/carnaval-de-luz-first-week-album-sales/will-carnaval-de-luz-first-week-sales-be-at-least-75k","event_title":"'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?","chart_24h":null}]}