{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1278178","as_of":"2026-11-02T20:32:51.727553Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next ECB President?\" — \"Other\" leads at 50% across 8 outcomes as of 2026-11-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1278178","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1278178","ticker":"next-ecb-president","slug":"next-ecb-president","title":"Next ECB President?","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4538.238141,"volume_24hr":2616.459988,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.94109535217285,"normalized_volume":16.095849990844727,"liquidity":6553.06054,"open_interest":1295.098801,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100448","slug":"ecb","label":"ECB"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"103176","slug":"Global-Rates","label":"Global Rates"},{"id":"101615","slug":"european-central-bank","label":"European Central Bank"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.774243Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.774243Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.637806Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president","chart_24h":[1726.348584,1726.348584,1775.810123,1775.810123,1801.910123,1808.880123,1808.880123,1828.880123,1956.860123,2096.134845,2151.634845,2211.634845,2214.084845,2226.084845,2226.084845,2226.084845,2445.639607,2448.089607,2442.089607,2483.349607,2483.349607,2483.349607,2483.349607,2483.349607,2505.349607,2505.349607,2505.349607,2616.459988,2616.459988],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388973","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-pablo-hernandez-de-cos-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Pablo Hernández de Cos","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-pablo-hernandez-de-cos-10e4a1b018.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-pablo-hernandez-de-cos-10e4a1b018.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1077.968393,"volume_24hr":360.455656,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-26.85708100000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.539518356323242,"normalized_volume":14.309579849243164,"liquidity":867.6395,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-pablo-hernandez-de-cos-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.37,0.365,0.385,0.41,0.4,0.395,0.405,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.375,0.385,0.365,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.425,0.41,0.41,0.415,0.45]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388974","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-klaas-knot-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Klaas Knot","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-klaas-knot-838379835b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-klaas-knot-838379835b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1107.2195459999998,"volume_24hr":80.851026,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-169.100729,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.131508827209473,"normalized_volume":14.419407844543457,"liquidity":560.0403,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-klaas-knot-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.355,0.335,0.345,0.36,0.365,0.33,0.34,0.345,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.345,0.315,0.33,0.335,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388977","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-francois-villeroy-de-galhau-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will François Villeroy de Galhau be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"François Villeroy de Galhau","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-francois-villeroy-de-galhau-d8292fbfb6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-francois-villeroy-de-galhau-d8292fbfb6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":527.386648,"volume_24hr":130.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-88.37998000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.981406211853027,"normalized_volume":11.533456802368164,"liquidity":854.7509,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-francois-villeroy-de-galhau-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.105,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.145,0.135,0.155,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.105,0.115,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.155,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.155,0.145,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388978","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-olli-rehn-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will Olli Rehn be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Olli Rehn","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-olli-rehn-ce88e96036.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-olli-rehn-ce88e96036.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0985,0.9015],"probability":0.0985,"spread":0.177,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":305.085545,"volume_24hr":35.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.03900000000000001,"volume_24h_change":-175.745545,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.437213897705078,"normalized_volume":9.612290382385254,"liquidity":863.3563,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-olli-rehn-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.131,0.0665,0.137,0.051,0.0385,0.064,0.1195,0.071,0.112,0.064,0.0655,0.1045,0.109,0.0465,0.06,0.0705,0.0755,0.0655,0.0775,0.0695,0.063,0.098,0.09,0.071,0.0485,0.0755,0.07,0.0935,0.0985]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388976","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-fabio-panetta-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will Fabio Panetta be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Fabio Panetta","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-fabio-panetta-19e2679e1b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-fabio-panetta-19e2679e1b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":450.6929,"volume_24hr":98.12,"prob_24h_change":-0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":-126.4529,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.853632926940918,"normalized_volume":10.963705062866211,"liquidity":991.3979,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-fabio-panetta-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.11,0.14,0.105,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.065,0.095,0.09,0.075,0.075,0.11,0.105,0.12,0.11,0.135,0.1,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.135,0.105,0.12,0.115,0.12,0.105,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388975","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-joachim-nagel-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will Joachim Nagel be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Joachim Nagel","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-joachim-nagel-db09370d18.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-joachim-nagel-db09370d18.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":617.731009,"volume_24hr":178.604722,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":-44.02684500000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.291730880737305,"normalized_volume":12.12147331237793,"liquidity":1250.4238,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-joachim-nagel-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.135,0.08,0.085,0.14,0.11,0.105,0.1,0.085,0.08,0.095,0.085,0.08,0.095,0.09,0.08,0.085,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.085,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388979","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-nadia-calvino-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will Nadia Calviño be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Nadia Calviño","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-nadia-calvino-ce0d56cd22.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-ecb-president-nadia-calvino-ce0d56cd22.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.073,0.927],"probability":0.073,"spread":0.126,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T15:13:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":452.15409999999997,"volume_24hr":62.74,"prob_24h_change":-0.06650000000000002,"volume_24h_change":-148.67409999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.234386444091797,"normalized_volume":10.975293159484863,"liquidity":1182.97044,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T20:09:23.881725Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-nadia-calvino-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":[0.134,0.062,0.119,0.064,0.049,0.065,0.084,0.071,0.101,0.0665,0.0745,0.106,0.1185,0.05,0.07,0.0725,0.0765,0.0605,0.08,0.0655,0.0775,0.065,0.0975,0.0685,0.053,0.073,0.0675,0.0705,0.073]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6388980","event_id":"1278178","slug":"will-another-individual-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","question":"Will another individual be the next President of the European Central Bank?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Christine Lagarde has announced that she will step down as President of the European Central Bank on February 7, 2027 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr261029~abbb6dc64b.en.html).\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual who is formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank to succeed Christine Lagarde.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as President of the European Central Bank by the European Council. A recommendation by the Council of the European Union alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or acting President of the European Central Bank will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThis market will immediately resolve to the formally appointed individual regardless of whether that individual subsequently takes office or whether another individual holds the office after the appointment.\n\nIf no such President is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Council and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-02-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T15:16:53.672716Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-ecb-president/will-another-individual-be-the-next-president-of-the-european-central-bank","event_title":"Next ECB President?","chart_24h":null}]}