{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1278385","as_of":"2026-10-30T19:38:53.648528Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?\" — 18% as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1278385","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1278385","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14625.510416,"volume_24hr":15251.312320999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.41424560546875,"normalized_volume":19.99432373046875,"liquidity":25200.0352,"open_interest":8637.310379,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.175,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.30000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":14375.390415999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T19:34:40.134603Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T19:34:40.134603Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.266123Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,4.0,4.0,4.0,44.0,44.0,44.0,49.294118,129.484511,129.484511,131.504511,232.01608,352.75608,4692.032022999999,8938.233293999998,9706.671444999998,12027.296180999998],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390070","event_id":"1278385","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Oct 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":14625.510416,"volume_24hr":15251.312320999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":14375.390415999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.83773422241211,"normalized_volume":26.51667594909668,"liquidity":29916.6993,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T19:34:40.304961Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T19:34:40.304961Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.535,0.425,0.375,0.205]}]}