{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1278386","as_of":"2026-10-30T07:11:14.370313Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?\" — \"65-89\" leads at 36% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1278386","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1278386","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9951.916406999999,"volume_24hr":9957.916407,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.90040588378906,"normalized_volume":19.243698120117188,"liquidity":13318.45156,"open_interest":5993.807186,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"65-89","top_outcome_probability":0.355,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.27,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1007.96004,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.458456Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.458456Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.266123Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026","chart_24h":[55.0,55.0,55.0,55.0,55.0,190.034828,674.147965,724.147965,724.147965,724.147965,745.464182,855.804182,855.804182,861.804182,2619.842904,2919.842904,2919.842904,9789.846407],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390073","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-65-89","question":"Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"65-89","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1006.96004,"volume_24hr":1007.96004,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":1007.96004,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.139368057250977,"normalized_volume":14.031963348388672,"liquidity":1418.3844,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-65-89","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.625,0.46,0.46,0.455,0.44,0.39,0.375,0.375,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390074","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-90-114","question":"Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"90-114","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":733.366662,"volume_24hr":733.366662,"prob_24h_change":-0.29000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":733.366662,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.2421932220459,"normalized_volume":12.776313781738281,"liquidity":1214.8296,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-90-114","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.545,0.365,0.37,0.305,0.29,0.275,0.295,0.29,0.285,0.285,0.29,0.295,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390072","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-40-64","question":"Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"40-64","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1233.0505670000002,"volume_24hr":1233.050567,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":1233.050567,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.38825035095215,"normalized_volume":14.865213394165039,"liquidity":1423.0156,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-40-64","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.545,0.325,0.315,0.31,0.305,0.255,0.225,0.235,0.235,0.215,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390075","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-115-139","question":"Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"115-139","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":555.680416,"volume_24hr":555.680416,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":555.680416,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.660581588745117,"normalized_volume":11.726164817810059,"liquidity":1702.7447,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-115-139","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.17,0.115,0.14,0.12,0.085,0.075,0.065,0.065,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390076","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-140-164","question":"Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"140-164","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.044,0.956],"probability":0.044,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5163.3572939999995,"volume_24hr":5168.357294,"prob_24h_change":0.018999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":5168.357294,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.30580520629883,"normalized_volume":21.445356369018555,"liquidity":1530.71625,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:56:04.707334Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-140-164","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.025,0.025,0.0285,0.029,0.029,0.029,0.0285,0.029,0.0195,0.02,0.0315,0.044]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390071","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-0-39","question":"Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"<40","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0365,0.9635],"probability":0.0365,"spread":0.045,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":111.70142799999999,"volume_24hr":111.701428,"prob_24h_change":-0.41350000000000003,"volume_24h_change":111.701428,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.864007949829102,"normalized_volume":6.54944372177124,"liquidity":1010.64307,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-0-39","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.115,0.09,0.065,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.0355,0.035,0.036,0.0365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390077","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-165-189","question":"Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"165-189","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":581.44,"volume_24hr":581.44,"prob_24h_change":0.015500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":571.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.914213180541992,"normalized_volume":11.894570350646973,"liquidity":1441.57542,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-165-189","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0055,0.016,0.016,0.0175,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.018,0.01,0.0095,0.018,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390078","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-190-214","question":"Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"190-214","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-29T16:07:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":250.68,"volume_24hr":250.68,"prob_24h_change":-0.0034999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":235.68,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.503867149353027,"normalized_volume":8.966215133666992,"liquidity":1230.7546,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T06:31:47.816681Z","added_at":"2026-10-29T16:34:15.325695Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-190-214","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0155,0.016,0.016,0.0055,0.0165,0.0155,0.0165,0.008,0.0075,0.011,0.012]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6390081","event_id":"1278386","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026-215-239","question":"Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"215-239","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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