{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1280622","as_of":"2026-10-30T21:20:14.624195Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?\" — \"L + Y + T + S + U\" leads at 40% across 22 outcomes as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1280622","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1280622","ticker":"next-israeli-government-coalition","slug":"next-israeli-government-coalition","title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3485.394017,"volume_24hr":3428.604217,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.586002349853516,"normalized_volume":15.107573509216309,"liquidity":89991.63147,"open_interest":605.288281,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"L + Y + T + S + U","top_outcome_probability":0.4035,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07649999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":261.795909,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.649069Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.649069Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.191054Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,300.0,300.0,1625.854475,1625.854475,1754.354475,1805.834475,1956.784475,1956.784475,1996.784475,1996.784475,2004.284475,2004.284475,2004.284475,2004.284475,2004.284475,2004.284475,2004.284475,2035.359732,2903.094217,2903.094217,3312.594217,3428.604217],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":22,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404519","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t-s-u","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + Shas + UTJ?","group_item_title":"L + Y + T + S + U","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4035,0.5965],"probability":0.4035,"spread":0.511,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":261.795909,"volume_24hr":261.795909,"prob_24h_change":-0.07649999999999996,"volume_24h_change":261.795909,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.831193923950195,"normalized_volume":9.106959342956543,"liquidity":303.59761,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:28:09.176841Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:28:09.176841Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t-s-u","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.47,0.385,0.375,0.035,0.436,0.255,0.168,0.035,0.158,0.0605,0.062,0.2505,0.1955,0.1145,0.23,0.0605,0.0615,0.0695,0.069,0.2805,0.0605,0.282,0.3905,0.4035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404540","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-no-israeli-government-be-formed-after-the-2026-knesset-vote","question":"Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?","group_item_title":"No government formed","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.5,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":177.5,"volume_24hr":177.5,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":177.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.97741413116455,"normalized_volume":7.886363506317139,"liquidity":301.6353,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-no-israeli-government-be-formed-after-the-2026-knesset-vote","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.48,0.41,0.16,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.06,0.37,0.355,0.36,0.345,0.315,0.31,0.285,0.315,0.45,0.28,0.255,0.435,0.4,0.405,0.48,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404527","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-d-s-u-r","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + Democrats + Shas + UTJ + Ra'am?","group_item_title":"Y + T + D + S + U + R","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.201,0.799],"probability":0.201,"spread":0.392,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":197.7998,"volume_24hr":197.7998,"prob_24h_change":-0.14899999999999997,"volume_24h_change":197.7998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.480243682861328,"normalized_volume":8.217445373535156,"liquidity":149.97477,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-d-s-u-r","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.37,0.0295,0.426,0.3295,0.2165,0.3695,0.215,0.305,0.21,0.2655,0.1475,0.2295,0.14,0.2645,0.2565,0.229,0.2245,0.072,0.2655,0.2435,0.2025,0.201]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404512","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-r","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Ra'am?","group_item_title":"Y + T + B + D + R","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":171.31,"volume_24hr":244.31,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":244.31,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.491435050964355,"normalized_volume":7.779358386993408,"liquidity":438.1479,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-r","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.315,0.315,0.285,0.235,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.275,0.235,0.23,0.215,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.255,0.165,0.145,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404508","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t-b","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + YB?","group_item_title":"L + Y + T + B","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":164.3,"volume_24hr":164.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":164.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.62507438659668,"normalized_volume":7.6543707847595215,"liquidity":161.888,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t-b","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.345,0.3,0.285,0.23,0.09,0.345,0.085,0.095,0.09,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.185,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404509","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together?","group_item_title":"Y + T","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":161.36473099999998,"volume_24hr":161.364731,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":161.364731,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.543662071228027,"normalized_volume":7.600765705108643,"liquidity":480.4217,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.47,0.425,0.37,0.335,0.08,0.095,0.12,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.255,0.25,0.24,0.235,0.235,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.275,0.275,0.18,0.145,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404503","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ?","group_item_title":"L + S + U","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.142,0.858],"probability":0.142,"spread":0.204,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":199.7798,"volume_24hr":199.7798,"prob_24h_change":-0.33799999999999997,"volume_24h_change":199.7798,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.527029037475586,"normalized_volume":8.248250961303711,"liquidity":503.27626,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.47,0.405,0.37,0.03,0.301,0.031,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.3195,0.205,0.2455,0.2355,0.1955,0.1385,0.245,0.3625,0.1985,0.238,0.149,0.1435,0.143,0.142,0.142]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404511","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats?","group_item_title":"Y + T + B + D","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":123.8,"volume_24hr":123.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":123.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.38095474243164,"normalized_volume":6.835197448730469,"liquidity":166.6279,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.485,0.41,0.365,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.265,0.145,0.215,0.2,0.215,0.185,0.175,0.14,0.34,0.26,0.165,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404515","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-d-s-u","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + Democrats + Shas + UTJ?","group_item_title":"Y + T + D + S + U","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":162.3,"volume_24hr":162.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":162.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.569729804992676,"normalized_volume":7.617929935455322,"liquidity":150.9018,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-d-s-u","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.315,0.255,0.285,0.195,0.315,0.33,0.305,0.275,0.23,0.155,0.23,0.155,0.215,0.205,0.195,0.175,0.255,0.255,0.16,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404502","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z-t","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP + Together?","group_item_title":"L + S + U + O + Z + T","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":115.7898,"volume_24hr":115.7898,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":115.7898,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.09757137298584,"normalized_volume":6.648606777191162,"liquidity":148.9823,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z-t","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.275,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.185,0.195,0.16,0.155,0.14,0.26,0.235,0.15,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404506","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-s-u","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Shas + UTJ?","group_item_title":"L + Y + S + U","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":115.7898,"volume_24hr":115.7898,"prob_24h_change":-0.27999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":115.7898,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.09757137298584,"normalized_volume":6.648606777191162,"liquidity":479.1222,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:28:09.176841Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:28:09.176841Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-s-u","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.365,0.3,0.275,0.265,0.16,0.265,0.06,0.265,0.255,0.215,0.225,0.22,0.255,0.245,0.235,0.235,0.285,0.255,0.165,0.11,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404541","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-another-coalition-form-the-next-israeli-government","question":"Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":188.76979999999998,"volume_24hr":58.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":58.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.468484878540039,"normalized_volume":8.073718070983887,"liquidity":416.514,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-another-coalition-form-the-next-israeli-government","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.46,0.395,0.35,0.295,0.465,0.535,0.385,0.21,0.21,0.215,0.205,0.195,0.19,0.205,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.205,0.205,0.16,0.12,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404507","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together?","group_item_title":"L + Y + T","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":152.28947399999998,"volume_24hr":152.28947399999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":152.28947399999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.28424072265625,"normalized_volume":7.429953575134277,"liquidity":488.0563,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.47,0.415,0.145,0.315,0.27,0.165,0.35,0.29,0.325,0.335,0.29,0.255,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.205,0.175,0.275,0.25,0.185,0.125,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404501","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z-b","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP + YB?","group_item_title":"L + S + U + O + Z + B","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0415,0.9585],"probability":0.0415,"spread":0.079,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.795909,"volume_24hr":128.795909,"prob_24h_change":-0.4385,"volume_24h_change":128.795909,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.550477027893066,"normalized_volume":6.946816921234131,"liquidity":481.97081,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z-b","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.47,0.375,0.365,0.035,0.2605,0.251,0.035,0.3055,0.0605,0.0625,0.0565,0.0615,0.056,0.0615,0.061,0.062,0.061,0.0415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404520","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z-y","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP + Yashar?","group_item_title":"L + S + U + O + Z + Y","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0385,0.9615],"probability":0.0385,"spread":0.071,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.795909,"volume_24hr":128.795909,"prob_24h_change":-0.3115,"volume_24h_change":128.795909,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.550477027893066,"normalized_volume":6.946816921234131,"liquidity":10493.47943,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z-y","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.37,0.035,0.4405,0.2705,0.1505,0.035,0.153,0.0605,0.0625,0.0565,0.062,0.062,0.061,0.06,0.0385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404500","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP?","group_item_title":"L + S + U + O + Z","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.038,0.962],"probability":0.038,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":147.2698,"volume_24hr":147.2698,"prob_24h_change":-0.312,"volume_24h_change":147.2698,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.135418891906738,"normalized_volume":7.331963539123535,"liquidity":10507.33755,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:28:09.176841Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:28:09.176841Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-s-u-o-z","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.385,0.035,0.0355,0.03,0.4035,0.4755,0.0655,0.066,0.14,0.0645,0.3615,0.1805,0.0615,0.0595,0.3975,0.3105,0.2945,0.062,0.064,0.074,0.0435,0.038]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404505","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar?","group_item_title":"L + Y","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":169.514285,"volume_24hr":169.514285,"prob_24h_change":-0.3145,"volume_24h_change":169.514285,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.766874313354492,"normalized_volume":7.74773645401001,"liquidity":10589.25645,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.405,0.03,0.03,0.195,0.387,0.1455,0.1285,0.312,0.2555,0.2545,0.2365,0.2365,0.2715,0.266,0.255,0.2445,0.0605,0.06,0.0615,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404513","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-s-u","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Shas + UTJ?","group_item_title":"Y + T + B + D + S + U","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":188.2698,"volume_24hr":188.2698,"prob_24h_change":-0.4495,"volume_24h_change":188.2698,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.249628067016602,"normalized_volume":8.06559944152832,"liquidity":10541.60368,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:52:46.698801Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-s-u","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.47,0.385,0.39,0.035,0.2215,0.035,0.3245,0.355,0.212,0.0595,0.0605,0.061,0.2035,0.061,0.061,0.0615,0.062,0.0625,0.061,0.0595,0.0585,0.042,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404533","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-r-j","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Ra'am + Joint List?","group_item_title":"Y + T + B + D + R + J","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.037,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.7898,"volume_24hr":128.7898,"prob_24h_change":-0.32849999999999996,"volume_24h_change":128.7898,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.550272941589355,"normalized_volume":6.946682453155518,"liquidity":10421.92662,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-r-j","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.385,0.03,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404516","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-s-u-z","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Shas + UTJ + RZP?","group_item_title":"L + Y + S + U + Z","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.7898,"volume_24hr":128.7898,"prob_24h_change":-0.32899999999999996,"volume_24h_change":128.7898,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.550272941589355,"normalized_volume":6.946682453155518,"liquidity":10439.74943,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-s-u-z","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.37,0.39,0.035,0.0265,0.0215,0.0215,0.021,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404538","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t-b-s-u","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + YB + Shas + UTJ?","group_item_title":"L + Y + T + B + S + U","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":136.2898,"volume_24hr":136.2898,"prob_24h_change":-0.45399999999999996,"volume_24h_change":136.2898,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.795289039611816,"normalized_volume":7.1080098152160645,"liquidity":10456.41315,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-l-y-t-b-s-u","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.47,0.4,0.375,0.035,0.2265,0.0355,0.2045,0.447,0.021,0.0215,0.022,0.0215,0.022,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.022,0.021,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404521","event_id":"1280622","slug":"will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-s","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Shas?","group_item_title":"Y + T + B + D + S","description":"This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.\n\nThe government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.\n\nA coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.\n\nParties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded. In the listed options, “L” refers to Likud, “Y” to Yashar, “T” to Together, “S” to Shas, “U” to United Torah Judaism (UTJ), “O” to Otzma Yehudit (Otzma), “Z” to RZP-Zehut (RZP), “B” to Yisrael Beiteinu (YB), “D” to The Democrats (Democrats), “R” to Ra'am, and “J” to Joint List.\n\nThis market will resolve to the listed option whose parties exactly match the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition includes any party not listed in an option, or does not include every party listed in an option, that option will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no listed option exactly matches the parties included in the coalition, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nOnly a government formed by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset does not approve a government in a vote of confidence, including if it is dissolved and a new election is called before a government is formed, or if no such government is formed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No government formed”. Governments formed after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.\n\nThis market may resolve once the 26th Knesset has approved the government in a vote of confidence and the composition of that government has been officially confirmed.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0205,0.9795],"probability":0.0205,"spread":0.037,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T00:53:20Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":136.2898,"volume_24hr":136.2898,"prob_24h_change":-0.45949999999999996,"volume_24h_change":136.2898,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.795289039611816,"normalized_volume":7.1080098152160645,"liquidity":10456.5642,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:00:52.889733Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:13:49.357525Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-coalition/will-the-next-israeli-coalition-be-y-t-b-d-s","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.47,0.4,0.385,0.03,0.462,0.3995,0.133,0.27,0.0205,0.021,0.0215,0.021,0.0215,0.0205,0.0205]}]}