{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1280749","as_of":"2026-11-13T16:43:27.629479Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?\" — \"Camilo Santana\" leads at 55% across 8 outcomes as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1280749","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1280749","ticker":"next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","slug":"next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-flag-square-4478c87b7d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+brazil.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10572.945493000001,"volume_24hr":2426.112434,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.282100677490234,"normalized_volume":19.46894073486328,"liquidity":6693.52564,"open_interest":1935.9198910000002,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Camilo Santana","top_outcome_probability":0.545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":247.285556,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.189473Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.189473Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.219829Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","chart_24h":[118.77000000000001,118.77000000000001,108.77000000000001,108.77000000000001,108.77000000000001,128.77,128.77,128.77,128.77,128.77,248.825556,498.805556,498.805556,498.805556,498.805556,498.805556,498.805556,498.805556,498.805556,503.805556,1639.437375,1836.437375,1854.437375,1854.437375,2143.037375,2234.108285,2407.682434,2407.682434],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404845","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-camilo-santana-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Camilo Santana","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-camilo-santana-4d60fb4c42.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-camilo-santana-4d60fb4c42.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1551.5752390000002,"volume_24hr":356.055556,"prob_24h_change":0.10000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":247.285556,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.54231071472168,"normalized_volume":15.839720726013184,"liquidity":831.2865,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-camilo-santana-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.475,0.505,0.515,0.53,0.535,0.54,0.475,0.495,0.445,0.44,0.535,0.49,0.345,0.36,0.365,0.355,0.36,0.375,0.46,0.52,0.535,0.495,0.55,0.595,0.55,0.555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404847","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-fernando-haddad-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Fernando Haddad","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-fernando-haddad-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-NHHDTz5vtt1h.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-fernando-haddad-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-NHHDTz5vtt1h.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.68],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4722.787614,"volume_24hr":1623.826878,"prob_24h_change":0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":1623.826878,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.0064754486084,"normalized_volume":21.000349044799805,"liquidity":638.6064,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-fernando-haddad-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.275,0.275,0.325,0.32,0.3,0.295,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.185,0.175,0.18,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.37,0.315,0.32,0.365,0.305,0.24,0.345,0.335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404849","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-gleisi-hoffmann-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Gleisi Hoffmann be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Gleisi Hoffmann","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-fazenda-gleisi-hoffmann-4718e150ab.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-fazenda-gleisi-hoffmann-4718e150ab.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0625,0.9375],"probability":0.0625,"spread":0.077,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":665.654633,"volume_24hr":14.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.011999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":9.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1768248081207275,"normalized_volume":12.4044771194458,"liquidity":982.9215,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-gleisi-hoffmann-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.0745,0.0755,0.0755,0.076,0.077,0.078,0.078,0.078,0.078,0.0855,0.0865,0.083,0.0835,0.084,0.084,0.082,0.084,0.085,0.0895,0.0785,0.075,0.0805,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404853","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-geraldo-alckmin-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Geraldo Alckmin","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-geraldo-alckmin-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-4jNu9RycwBQQ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-geraldo-alckmin-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-4jNu9RycwBQQ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0385,0.9615],"probability":0.0385,"spread":0.063,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2152.738828,"volume_24hr":387.83000000000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.0365,"volume_24h_change":387.83000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.967202186584473,"normalized_volume":17.282258987426758,"liquidity":1139.24754,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:00:33.099355Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:00:33.099355Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-geraldo-alckmin-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.08,0.03,0.025,0.025,0.0255,0.021,0.038,0.0385,0.0385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404851","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-rui-costa-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Rui Costa be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Rui Costa","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-rui-costa-2a1d4c568a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-rui-costa-2a1d4c568a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0315,0.9685],"probability":0.0315,"spread":0.045,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":455.943372,"volume_24hr":14.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.009500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":14.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1768248081207275,"normalized_volume":11.005199432373047,"liquidity":597.33493,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:00:33.099355Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:00:33.099355Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-rui-costa-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.041,0.0415,0.041,0.041,0.0415,0.041,0.041,0.0415,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.0415,0.041,0.0415,0.0415,0.041,0.0415,0.041,0.0385,0.034,0.0315,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404855","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-jaques-wagner-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Jaques Wagner","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-jaques-wagner-09dedb4e22.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-jaques-wagner-09dedb4e22.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.026,0.974],"probability":0.026,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":371.04190000000006,"volume_24hr":14.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.024000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":9.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1768248081207275,"normalized_volume":10.278881072998047,"liquidity":1332.80379,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T16:27:55.868617Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-jaques-wagner-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.048,0.05,0.05,0.0445,0.0395,0.033,0.044,0.043,0.038,0.031,0.0315,0.031,0.0295,0.0295,0.045,0.0445,0.041,0.0345,0.033,0.0305,0.0285,0.0255,0.0415,0.0465,0.0345,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6404857","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-miriam-belchior-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will Miriam Belchior be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Miriam Belchior","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-miriam-belchior-4249a73bd3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-cabinet-miriam-belchior-4249a73bd3.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T01:22:46Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":653.203907,"volume_24hr":14.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.004999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1768248081207275,"normalized_volume":12.332649230957031,"liquidity":473.69448,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:07:04.924908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:07:04.924908Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-miriam-belchior-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":[0.0155,0.0135,0.0115,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6405153","event_id":"1280749","slug":"will-another-individual-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","question":"Will another individual be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Chief of Staff of the Presidency (Ministro-Chefe da Casa Civil) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Chief of Staff at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Chief of Staff will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Chief of Staff” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Chief of Staff are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Chief of Staff assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+brazil.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+brazil.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T01:42:56.341952Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-brazilian-chief-of-staff/will-another-individual-be-the-next-brazilian-chief-of-staff","event_title":"Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?","chart_24h":null}]}