{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1285837","as_of":"2026-11-02T02:30:16.430933Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"\"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office\" — \"130m+\" leads at 54% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-11-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1285837","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1285837","ticker":"dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf \"Dune: Part Three\" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T23:54:44Z","end_date":"2026-12-20T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3628.8157770000003,"volume_24hr":3595.449341,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.450300216674805,"normalized_volume":15.25374698638916,"liquidity":2719.8177,"open_interest":813.779778,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"130m+","top_outcome_probability":0.535,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1955.0218760000002,"updated_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.630147Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.630147Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T23:56:35.884129Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office","chart_24h":[32.313816,32.313816,32.313816,31.25,31.25,31.25,31.25,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,3.1500000000000004,1274.644164,1274.644164,1595.0625300000002,1951.71253,1951.71253,2121.97919,2121.97919,2225.0599079999997,2346.460816,2894.173442,3071.840109,3553.829341,3575.449341,3595.449341],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6439049","event_id":"1285837","slug":"will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-130m","question":"Will \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?","group_item_title":"130m+","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf \"Dune: Part Three\" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.535,0.465],"probability":0.535,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T23:54:44Z","end_date":"2026-12-20T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1968.5744960000002,"volume_24hr":1961.271876,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1955.0218760000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.404481887817383,"normalized_volume":16.882041931152344,"liquidity":261.0134,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.946215Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.946215Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T23:56:35.944569Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office/will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-130m","event_title":"\"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.555,0.56,0.465,0.515,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.515,0.49,0.48,0.465,0.455,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6439046","event_id":"1285837","slug":"will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-70m-and-90m","question":"Will \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m?","group_item_title":"70m-90m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf \"Dune: Part Three\" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T23:54:44Z","end_date":"2026-12-20T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":402.068226,"volume_24hr":395.818226,"prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":389.568226,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.199374198913574,"normalized_volume":10.55896282196045,"liquidity":527.9335,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.946215Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.946215Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T23:56:35.944569Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office/will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-70m-and-90m","event_title":"\"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.32,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.17,0.155,0.155,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.175,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.205,0.17,0.17,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6439047","event_id":"1285837","slug":"will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-90m-and-110m","question":"Will \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 110m?","group_item_title":"90m-110m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf \"Dune: Part Three\" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T23:54:44Z","end_date":"2026-12-20T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":419.98754500000007,"volume_24hr":413.73754500000007,"prob_24h_change":-0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":407.487545,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.424593925476074,"normalized_volume":10.71263599395752,"liquidity":489.4263,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.946215Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T02:28:56.946215Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T23:56:35.944569Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office/will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-90m-and-110m","event_title":"\"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.21,0.205,0.21,0.205,0.21,0.205,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.155,0.175,0.145,0.11,0.18,0.145,0.16,0.155,0.15,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6439045","event_id":"1285837","slug":"will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-70m","question":"Will \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?","group_item_title":"<70m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. 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The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf \"Dune: Part Three\" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-dune-part-three-be-delayed-20260720163825706-OTsOv6iNKpWg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-30T23:54:44Z","end_date":"2026-12-20T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":356.412916,"volume_24hr":350.162916,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":343.912916,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.58474349975586,"normalized_volume":10.140027046203613,"liquidity":738.2381,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T02:05:00.113435Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T02:05:00.113435Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T23:56:35.944569Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office/will-dune-part-three-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-110m-and-130m","event_title":"\"Dune: Part Three\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.085,0.08,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.11,0.145,0.135,0.13,0.12,0.105,0.11]}]}