{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1289205","as_of":"2026-11-01T05:51:34.115781Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?\" — \"90-114\" leads at 32% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-11-01 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1289205","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1289205","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4488.610557999999,"volume_24hr":4488.610558,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.55875015258789,"normalized_volume":15.507194519042969,"liquidity":22990.47357,"open_interest":2543.679004,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"90-114","top_outcome_probability":0.315,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":100.262046,"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:20.940550Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:20.940550Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.189631Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026","chart_24h":[110.0,283.585751,445.58575099999996,485.585751,485.58575099999996,593.085751,918.085751,1355.71097,1355.71097,2444.6527,2468.6527,2761.228492,2876.228492,3026.228492,3869.753198,4068.143198],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476067","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-90-114","question":"Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"90-114","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.262046,"volume_24hr":100.262046,"prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":100.262046,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.63568115234375,"normalized_volume":6.256072998046875,"liquidity":1284.4974,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:26:35.812063Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:26:35.812063Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-90-114","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.265,0.31,0.33,0.325,0.33,0.325,0.305,0.255,0.3,0.315,0.33,0.325,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476068","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-115-139","question":"Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"115-139","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.060941,"volume_24hr":100.060941,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":100.060941,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.628247261047363,"normalized_volume":6.250687599182129,"liquidity":3870.8976,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:26:35.812063Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:26:35.812063Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-115-139","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.305,0.305,0.36,0.315,0.295,0.285,0.285,0.295,0.275,0.295,0.27,0.275,0.225,0.185,0.185,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476066","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-65-89","question":"Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"65-89","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1354.860914,"volume_24hr":1354.860914,"prob_24h_change":-0.17,"volume_24h_change":1348.910914,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.04009437561035,"normalized_volume":14.614008903503418,"liquidity":3893.6728,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-65-89","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.335,0.295,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.325,0.33,0.285,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.175,0.175,0.18,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476069","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-140-164","question":"Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"140-164","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":458.257244,"volume_24hr":458.257244,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":458.257244,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.216288566589355,"normalized_volume":11.023359298706055,"liquidity":1312.8432,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:26:35.812063Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:26:35.812063Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-140-164","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.12,0.085,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.115,0.095,0.215,0.22,0.21,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476065","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-40-64","question":"Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"40-64","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":586.8313449999999,"volume_24hr":586.831345,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":329.347529,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.624504089355469,"normalized_volume":9.870199203491211,"liquidity":4978.3653,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-40-64","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.335,0.325,0.26,0.17,0.165,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476070","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-165-189","question":"Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"165-189","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.048,0.952],"probability":0.048,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":375.04561299999995,"volume_24hr":375.045613,"prob_24h_change":0.019000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":125.52315900000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.965038299560547,"normalized_volume":10.116897583007812,"liquidity":1593.90551,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-165-189","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.016,0.0375,0.0385,0.2175,0.0255,0.0245,0.0255,0.031,0.0605,0.1625,0.1865,0.113,0.048,0.0515,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476072","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-215-239","question":"Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"215-239","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.057,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":493.787428,"volume_24hr":493.787428,"prob_24h_change":-0.26849999999999996,"volume_24h_change":436.787428,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.03550910949707,"normalized_volume":10.892394065856934,"liquidity":2148.34083,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-215-239","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.302,0.038,0.023,0.023,0.013,0.0125,0.0125,0.0085,0.0085,0.008,0.008,0.0385,0.0385,0.0335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476071","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-190-214","question":"Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"190-214","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0295,0.9705],"probability":0.0295,"spread":0.035,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-31T16:07:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":160.795544,"volume_24hr":160.795544,"prob_24h_change":-0.271,"volume_24h_change":76.784454,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.67729377746582,"normalized_volume":5.561774730682373,"liquidity":1903.22945,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T05:49:21.004441Z","added_at":"2026-10-31T16:28:26.291929Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-190-214","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.305,0.155,0.16,0.021,0.0205,0.131,0.131,0.0415,0.042,0.041,0.0405,0.034]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6476064","event_id":"1289205","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2-november-4-2026-0-39","question":"Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"<40","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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