{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1295274","as_of":"2026-11-02T06:50:08.537664Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?\" — \"Anthropic\" leads at 58% across 22 outcomes as of 2026-11-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1295274","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1295274","ticker":"which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026","slug":"which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026","title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-april-K6BTi-oBO1z1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-april-K6BTi-oBO1z1.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4496.8209719999995,"volume_24hr":4496.820972,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.93486213684082,"normalized_volume":16.062183380126953,"liquidity":24612.96519,"open_interest":967.6635700000002,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105801","slug":"livebench","label":"LiveBench"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.585,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":571.481112,"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.381806Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.381806Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:34.990687Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,20.02,288.084445,648.084445,698.084445,698.084445,698.084445,698.084445,948.084445,978.084445,1018.084445,1419.551516,1530.904136,2136.506266,2629.279904,3642.203934,3726.203934,4378.610972,4476.720972,4496.820972],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":22,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530720","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.585,0.415],"probability":0.585,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":571.4811119999999,"volume_24hr":571.481112,"prob_24h_change":0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":571.481112,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.118391036987305,"normalized_volume":11.830221176147461,"liquidity":445.1663,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T05:36:34.667883Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T05:36:34.667883Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.485,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.565,0.57,0.545,0.57,0.565,0.535,0.515,0.435,0.435,0.54,0.585]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530777","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":871.3443699999999,"volume_24hr":871.34437,"prob_24h_change":-0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":871.34437,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.464693069458008,"normalized_volume":13.451708793640137,"liquidity":892.4722,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.275,0.18,0.255,0.265,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.505,0.495,0.255,0.22,0.205,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530768","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.083,0.917],"probability":0.083,"spread":0.146,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":207.054335,"volume_24hr":207.05433499999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.417,"volume_24h_change":207.05433499999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.096027374267578,"normalized_volume":8.359353065490723,"liquidity":863.49618,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.473,0.456,0.472,0.471,0.459,0.459,0.4275,0.429,0.4165,0.4415,0.434,0.2505,0.1605,0.052,0.032,0.09,0.0615,0.083]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530842","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-thinky-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0765,0.9235],"probability":0.0765,"spread":0.145,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":182.057272,"volume_24hr":182.057272,"prob_24h_change":-0.4235,"volume_24h_change":182.057272,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.522858619689941,"normalized_volume":7.9632463455200195,"liquidity":970.85531,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-thinky-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.5,0.0365,0.321,0.345,0.3625,0.261,0.0615,0.0615,0.0565,0.235,0.0575,0.038,0.05,0.0395,0.037,0.0765]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530826","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.937],"probability":0.063,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":159.19,"volume_24hr":159.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.437,"volume_24h_change":159.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.94014835357666,"normalized_volume":7.560545444488525,"liquidity":778.3877,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.5,0.181,0.3215,0.346,0.2765,0.216,0.0615,0.0615,0.0355,0.0595,0.215,0.033,0.0335,0.041,0.056,0.063]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530855","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.937],"probability":0.063,"spread":0.082,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":157.124,"volume_24hr":157.124,"prob_24h_change":-0.437,"volume_24h_change":157.124,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.884268760681152,"normalized_volume":7.521927833557129,"liquidity":1052.72112,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.036,0.3465,0.3065,0.2665,0.221,0.0615,0.2905,0.0555,0.0555,0.223,0.0545,0.0565,0.036,0.075,0.063]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530811","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0615,0.9385],"probability":0.0615,"spread":0.117,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":117.29405,"volume_24hr":117.29405,"prob_24h_change":-0.4385,"volume_24h_change":117.29405,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.67236614227295,"normalized_volume":6.684402942657471,"liquidity":846.58906,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.465,0.16,0.16,0.155,0.16,0.155,0.145,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.065,0.07,0.0345,0.039,0.0615]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530851","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0605,0.9395],"probability":0.0605,"spread":0.119,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":137.202,"volume_24hr":137.202,"prob_24h_change":-0.4395,"volume_24h_change":137.202,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.313021659851074,"normalized_volume":7.1271491050720215,"liquidity":830.12556,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.495,0.1955,0.406,0.31,0.331,0.241,0.0615,0.0565,0.056,0.056,0.057,0.048,0.0325,0.0555,0.055,0.0605]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530865","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-microsoft-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0595,0.9405],"probability":0.0595,"spread":0.083,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":157.294096,"volume_24hr":157.294096,"prob_24h_change":-0.4405,"volume_24h_change":157.294096,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.888891220092773,"normalized_volume":7.52512264251709,"liquidity":1434.55782,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-microsoft-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.5,0.036,0.4555,0.316,0.2415,0.281,0.061,0.0565,0.056,0.056,0.048,0.0565,0.0535,0.0565,0.0485,0.072,0.0595]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530735","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.057,0.943],"probability":0.057,"spread":0.104,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":197.20387499999998,"volume_24hr":197.203875,"prob_24h_change":-0.443,"volume_24h_change":197.203875,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.877199172973633,"normalized_volume":8.208125114440918,"liquidity":913.59605,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.5,0.036,0.207,0.2765,0.2565,0.231,0.0615,0.063,0.0555,0.0495,0.0605,0.0995,0.089,0.084,0.0535,0.057]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530817","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.051,0.949],"probability":0.051,"spread":0.096,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":157.328902,"volume_24hr":157.328902,"prob_24h_change":-0.449,"volume_24h_change":157.328902,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.889836311340332,"normalized_volume":7.525775909423828,"liquidity":741.61785,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:00:05.497821Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:00:05.497821Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.5,0.0365,0.1965,0.2815,0.2615,0.236,0.0615,0.0615,0.056,0.1745,0.1585,0.0665,0.056,0.0505,0.051]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530847","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":248.14262,"volume_24hr":248.14262,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":248.14262,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.926640510559082,"normalized_volume":8.933375358581543,"liquidity":773.8643,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.04,0.47,0.455,0.435,0.41,0.29,0.24,0.325,0.315,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.055,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530727","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.048,0.952],"probability":0.048,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":177.482719,"volume_24hr":177.482719,"prob_24h_change":-0.452,"volume_24h_change":177.482719,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.411182403564453,"normalized_volume":7.886069297790527,"liquidity":759.71708,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:00:05.497821Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:00:05.497821Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.474,0.463,0.469,0.468,0.4605,0.4365,0.3115,0.345,0.3655,0.4175,0.2595,0.256,0.168,0.0655,0.048,0.048]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530859","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.048,0.952],"probability":0.048,"spread":0.092,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":122.09,"volume_24hr":122.09,"prob_24h_change":-0.452,"volume_24h_change":122.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.834104537963867,"normalized_volume":6.796177864074707,"liquidity":1108.82187,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-tencent-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.495,0.14,0.42,0.385,0.34,0.31,0.065,0.065,0.135,0.415,0.4,0.11,0.115,0.1,0.105,0.07,0.036,0.048]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530807","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-spacexai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":175.30829699999998,"volume_24hr":175.308297,"prob_24h_change":-0.46,"volume_24h_change":175.308297,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.357287406921387,"normalized_volume":7.848823070526123,"liquidity":867.01955,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-spacexai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.5,0.0365,0.4315,0.241,0.2555,0.061,0.0615,0.0615,0.0515,0.052,0.0565,0.191,0.0425,0.059,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530743","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":177.381562,"volume_24hr":177.381562,"prob_24h_change":-0.469,"volume_24h_change":177.381562,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.408687591552734,"normalized_volume":7.884344577789307,"liquidity":843.25109,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.473,0.463,0.4645,0.461,0.447,0.433,0.431,0.431,0.417,0.424,0.0995,0.0615,0.051,0.0595,0.0335,0.0305,0.031]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530822","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.037,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":137.246236,"volume_24hr":137.24623599999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.4735,"volume_24h_change":137.24623599999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.314360618591309,"normalized_volume":7.128074645996094,"liquidity":895.24848,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.355,0.5,0.037,0.2075,0.282,0.272,0.2505,0.0615,0.063,0.063,0.0575,0.054,0.1615,0.046,0.046,0.0465,0.027,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530862","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.026,0.974],"probability":0.026,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":92.09,"volume_24hr":92.09,"prob_24h_change":-0.474,"volume_24h_change":92.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.72566032409668,"normalized_volume":6.0301513671875,"liquidity":453.28783,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:00:05.497821Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:00:05.497821Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.49,0.205,0.415,0.385,0.21,0.335,0.065,0.075,0.165,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.031,0.026]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530801","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-xiaomi-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.023,0.977],"probability":0.023,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":137.219,"volume_24hr":137.219,"prob_24h_change":-0.477,"volume_24h_change":137.219,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.313536643981934,"normalized_volume":7.127504825592041,"liquidity":540.98883,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T04:02:03.232326Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T04:02:03.232326Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.04,0.1285,0.488,0.348,0.329,0.3165,0.0615,0.062,0.062,0.061,0.0545,0.0375,0.158,0.0225,0.023]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530783","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T15:02:15Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":137.193875,"volume_24hr":137.193875,"prob_24h_change":-0.482,"volume_24h_change":137.193875,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.312775611877441,"normalized_volume":7.126979351043701,"liquidity":879.69316,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T06:45:07.561160Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.185,0.435,0.395,0.36,0.2945,0.0615,0.0615,0.0515,0.041,0.156,0.025,0.0175,0.018,0.018,0.018]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6530791","event_id":"1295274","slug":"will-zptai-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed \"cost per successful task\" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-april-K6BTi-oBO1z1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-the-best-coding-ai-model-end-of-april-K6BTi-oBO1z1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T15:18:35.060736Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-end-of-december-2026/will-any-other-company-have-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-coding-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?","chart_24h":null}]}