{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1296681","as_of":"2026-11-02T21:16:12.049192Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)\" — 6% as of 2026-11-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1296681","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1296681","ticker":"keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh","slug":"keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh","title":"Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Republican candidate wins at least five of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if a Republican candidate wins four or fewer of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.\n\nThe relevant elections are the elections for US senator from Texas, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Michigan and Ohio.\n\nA candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/keith-rabois-wins-proposed-bet-against-nate-silver-xy6tUjWFP2Bs.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/keith-rabois-wins-proposed-bet-against-nate-silver-xy6tUjWFP2Bs.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T19:54:28Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3086.3250339999995,"volume_24hr":3086.325034,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.618446350097656,"normalized_volume":14.655982971191406,"liquidity":24718.90686,"open_interest":2067.905574,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"106433","slug":"iowa-senate","label":"Iowa Senate"},{"id":"105975","slug":"ohio-senate","label":"Ohio Senate"},{"id":"103792","slug":"texas-senate","label":"Texas Senate"},{"id":"106425","slug":"alaska-senate","label":"Alaska Senate"},{"id":"106434","slug":"kansas-senate","label":"Kansas Senate"},{"id":"106417","slug":"midterm-combos","label":"Midterm Combos"},{"id":"105969","slug":"michigan-senate","label":"Michigan Senate"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"106217","slug":"senate-tossups","label":"Tossup Senate Races"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0645,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.055499999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2986.325034,"updated_at":"2026-11-02T21:01:55.760324Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T21:01:55.760324Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T19:55:37.201838Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh","chart_24h":[100.0,120.0,605.5263,795.5163,795.5163,795.5163,795.5163,915.4863,915.4863,915.4863,918.5696,918.5696,1163.118767,1195.0775,1195.0775,1334.762278,1334.762278,1355.762278,1466.422278,1542.4122779999998,1951.0236049999999,1951.0236049999999,1951.023605,1951.0236049999999,1951.023605,1969.353605,3056.325034,3056.325034,3086.325034],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6544759","event_id":"1296681","slug":"keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh","question":"Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Republican candidate wins at least five of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if a Republican candidate wins four or fewer of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.\n\nThe relevant elections are the elections for US senator from Texas, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Michigan and Ohio.\n\nA candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/keith-rabois-wins-proposed-bet-against-nate-silver-xy6tUjWFP2Bs.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/keith-rabois-wins-proposed-bet-against-nate-silver-xy6tUjWFP2Bs.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0645,0.9355],"probability":0.0645,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-01T19:54:28Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3086.3250339999995,"volume_24hr":3086.325034,"prob_24h_change":-0.055499999999999994,"volume_24h_change":2986.325034,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.47138214111328,"normalized_volume":18.942028045654297,"liquidity":24119.92686,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T21:01:55.889243Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T21:01:55.889243Z","added_at":"2026-11-01T19:55:37.352723Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh/keith-rabois-combo-republicans-win-5-tx-ia-ks-ak-mi-oh","event_title":"Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)","chart_24h":[0.1,0.105,0.065,0.065,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.045,0.04,0.03,0.032,0.05,0.0495,0.0505,0.0575,0.057,0.0655,0.0655,0.0655,0.0655,0.063,0.063,0.064,0.063,0.0645]}]}