{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1303876","as_of":"2026-11-03T20:23:03.023064Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?\" — 28 markets; highest \"November 5\" at 86% as of 2026-11-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1303876","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1303876","ticker":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102","title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:12Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":555.225474,"volume_24hr":555.225474,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.493121147155762,"normalized_volume":9.069839477539062,"liquidity":9959.2994,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"270","slug":"putin","label":"putin"},{"id":"104311","slug":"moscow","label":"Moscow"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"November 5","top_outcome_probability":0.86,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.36,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-03T20:02:39.703672Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T20:02:39.703672Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:34.983715Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,50.5743,57.717158,68.026424,68.026424,68.026424,68.026424,170.245474,555.225474,555.2254740000001,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474,555.225474],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":28,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600384","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-3-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 3","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T08:44:06.212187Z","result":"yes","volume":555.225474,"volume_24hr":555.225474,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":555.225474,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.2935848236084,"normalized_volume":11.723132133483887,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T10:06:45.272573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T10:06:45.272573Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-3-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.905,0.915,0.915,0.915,0.9945,0.995,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600386","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-5-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 5","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-06T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":265.6995,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T17:09:40.194355Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T17:09:40.194355Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-5-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.745,0.735,0.86]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600385","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-4-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 4","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":132.3091,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-4-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.85,0.845,0.84]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600387","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-6-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 6","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.235,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":365.4491,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-6-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.745,0.735]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600388","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-7-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 7","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.235,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":339.9494,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-7-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.745,0.735]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600389","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-8-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 8","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-09T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.235,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":377.9492,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-8-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.745,0.735]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600390","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-9-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 9","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.235,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":377.9492,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-9-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.745,0.735]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600391","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-10-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 10","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":389.7793,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-10-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600392","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-11-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 11","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-11-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600393","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-12-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 12","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-13T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-12-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600394","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-13-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 13","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-13-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600395","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-14-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 14","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-14-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600396","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-15-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-15-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600397","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-16-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 16","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-16-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600398","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-17-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 17","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:14Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-17-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600399","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-18-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 18","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:16Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.349,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-18-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600400","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-19-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 19","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:16Z","end_date":"2026-11-20T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.349,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-19-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600401","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-20-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 20","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:16Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3492,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-20-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600402","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-21-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 21","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-22T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-21-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600403","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-22-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 22","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":394.3492,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-22-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.74,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600404","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-23-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 23","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-24T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":395.3493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:28:01.314491Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-23-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600405","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-24-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 24","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":401.0886,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-24-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600406","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-25-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 25","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-26T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":401.0297,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-25-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600407","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-26-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 26","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-27T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":401.0886,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-26-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600408","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-27-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 27","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:17Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":401.0886,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-27-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600409","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-28-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 28","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:19Z","end_date":"2026-11-29T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":401.0892,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-28-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600410","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-29-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 29","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:19Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":401.0889,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-29-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6600411","event_id":"1303876","slug":"will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-30-2026-20261102","question":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nMilitary action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.\n\nA military action will be considered directed at Moscow if it targets any location within the federal city of Moscow.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Moscow time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia, including reports from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation relayed by the Mayor of Moscow on his official Telegram channel (https://t.me/mos_sobyanin), and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/st+basil's+target.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:33:19Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":391.1485,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T15:52:43.189908Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:43:35.008590Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-onptptpt-20261102/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-november-30-2026-20261102","event_title":"Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.735,0.73,0.72]}]}