{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1305029","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:03:48.785899Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?\" — \"0-4\" leads at 41% across 7 outcomes as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1305029","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1305029","ticker":"avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november","slug":"avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november","title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3985.986942,"volume_24hr":1296.102286,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.387447357177734,"normalized_volume":15.596967697143555,"liquidity":24874.5502,"open_interest":1330.44978,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"104139","slug":"hormuz","label":"Hormuz"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"0-4","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":195.88960200000002,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.131535Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.131535Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.486392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november","chart_24h":[1487.561649,1551.609268,1449.251647,1449.251647,1484.142123,1484.142123,1708.463408,1703.023408,1762.803408,1762.803408,1708.803408,1668.803408,2026.394794,1842.988452,1842.988452,1562.333006,1562.333006,1540.415443,1559.881766,1385.741766,1339.741766,1353.741766,1353.101766,1353.101766,1342.111766,1336.891766,1316.891766],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617827","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-between-0-and-4-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be between 0 and 4 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"0-4","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1165.624569,"volume_24hr":594.018053,"prob_24h_change":0.07499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":195.88960200000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.037630081176758,"normalized_volume":14.631458282470703,"liquidity":4928.0654,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-between-0-and-4-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.335,0.285,0.28,0.285,0.315,0.33,0.315,0.305,0.37,0.39,0.395,0.4,0.4,0.405,0.43,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.405,0.405,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617828","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-between-5-and-9-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be between 5 and 9 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"5-9","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":426.313963,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-259.843963,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.832154750823975,"normalized_volume":10.765588760375977,"liquidity":1564.0826,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-between-5-and-9-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.16,0.16,0.165,0.2,0.195,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.175,0.17,0.165,0.155,0.17,0.17,0.175,0.17,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.17,0.185,0.19,0.165,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617831","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-between-20-and-24-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"20-24","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":433.672104,"volume_24hr":169.75,"prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":88.52778,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.676946640014648,"normalized_volume":10.826358795166016,"liquidity":2592.5738,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-between-20-and-24-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.15,0.155,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.115,0.085,0.08,0.075,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.105,0.105,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617832","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-between-25-and-29-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"25-29","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":528.304456,"volume_24hr":21.775642,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":-186.840952,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.317789554595947,"normalized_volume":11.53984260559082,"liquidity":4691.9234,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-between-25-and-29-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.105,0.09,0.085,0.095,0.105,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.095,0.1,0.09,0.095,0.1,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.13,0.135,0.125,0.13,0.135,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617833","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-30-or-more-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"30+","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":496.51928499999997,"volume_24hr":133.833785,"prob_24h_change":-0.06499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":9.474000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.628640174865723,"normalized_volume":11.313063621520996,"liquidity":2571.7333,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-30-or-more-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.15,0.145,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.145,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.095,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.095,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617830","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-between-15-and-19-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be between 15 and 19 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"15-19","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":676.415898,"volume_24hr":326.72480600000006,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":170.25083700000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.826971054077148,"normalized_volume":12.46565055847168,"liquidity":6049.8823,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-between-15-and-19-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.155,0.165,0.15,0.155,0.15,0.135,0.14,0.16,0.185,0.17,0.18,0.185,0.19,0.16,0.165,0.175,0.205,0.2,0.185,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6617829","event_id":"1305029","slug":"will-there-be-between-10-and-14-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","question":"Will there be between 10 and 14 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?","group_item_title":"10-14","description":"This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for November 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. This market will resolve based on the whole-number value published by the resolution source for the specified date. Any more granular or unrounded values will not be considered; if the value is presented with decimals in any format, it will be rounded to the nearest whole number, with .5 rounded up.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T02:10:26Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":259.136667,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-130.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.073740005493164,"liquidity":2468.334,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T21:47:17.564349Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T02:33:04.563414Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-november/will-there-be-between-10-and-14-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-november-30","event_title":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.07,0.08,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055]}]}