{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1305365","as_of":"2026-11-04T05:19:42.827637Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska\" — \"AK < KS < OH < TX\" leads at 60% across 25 outcomes as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1305365","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1305365","ticker":"senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska","slug":"senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska","title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-wins-the-senate-in-the-2026-midterms-OXeDuHUkn3kf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-wins-the-senate-in-the-2026-midterms-OXeDuHUkn3kf.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2887.606451,"volume_24hr":2887.606451,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.619972229003906,"normalized_volume":14.413203239440918,"liquidity":164392.74573,"open_interest":2109.118546,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"339","slug":"election","label":"election"},{"id":"105975","slug":"ohio-senate","label":"Ohio Senate"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"104002","slug":"ohio-midterm","label":"Ohio Midterm"},{"id":"103792","slug":"texas-senate","label":"Texas Senate"},{"id":"106425","slug":"alaska-senate","label":"Alaska Senate"},{"id":"106434","slug":"kansas-senate","label":"Kansas Senate"},{"id":"104040","slug":"texas-midterm","label":"Texas Midterm"},{"id":"104011","slug":"alaska-midterm","label":"Alaska Midterm"},{"id":"101007","slug":"election-night","label":"Election Night 2024"},{"id":"104020","slug":"kansas-midterm","label":"Kansas Midterm"},{"id":"106417","slug":"midterm-combos","label":"Midterm Combos"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"AK < KS < OH < TX","top_outcome_probability":0.595,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.492554Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.492554Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.254836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska","chart_24h":[0.0,20.0,121.05262,302.849185,342.849185,375.059197,375.059197,375.059197,538.824165,568.824165,588.824165,608.824165,772.824165,772.824165,1012.824165,1012.824165,1012.824165,1497.054935,1497.054935,1516.254935,1776.254935,1776.254935,2316.254935,2697.406451,2697.406451,2697.406451,2697.406451,2837.606451,2887.606451],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":25,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619021","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ks-oh-ak-tx","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Kansas, Ohio, Alaska, Texas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"KS < OH < AK < TX","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.15836238861084,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":64.8678,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ks-oh-ak-tx","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045,0.345,0.045,0.395,0.045,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31,0.04,0.045,0.05,0.41,0.47,0.425,0.41,0.145,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619014","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-oh-ks-ak-tx","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Ohio, Kansas, Alaska, Texas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"OH < KS < AK < TX","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1405,0.8595],"probability":0.1405,"spread":0.075,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32949999999999996,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.15836238861084,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":92.66,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-oh-ks-ak-tx","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.47,0.04,0.34,0.04,0.42,0.04,0.04,0.275,0.034,0.0335,0.0385,0.0405,0.0395,0.4385,0.4375,0.4395,0.411,0.4165,0.1205,0.1065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619012","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-oh-ks-tx-ak","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Ohio, Kansas, Texas, Alaska from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"OH < KS < TX < AK","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0905,0.9095],"probability":0.0905,"spread":0.079,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.050499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.5503835678100586,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":92.32,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-oh-ks-tx-ak","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.04,0.0285,0.0315,0.3305,0.0305,0.3805,0.0315,0.0315,0.032,0.0315,0.0315,0.0305,0.0295,0.0295,0.0285,0.028,0.0305,0.03,0.0335,0.036,0.037,0.455,0.453,0.43,0.415,0.414,0.1035,0.079]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619024","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ks-ak-oh-tx","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Kansas, Alaska, Ohio, Texas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"KS < AK < OH < TX","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.15836238861084,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":93.52,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ks-ak-oh-tx","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.055,0.055,0.05,0.35,0.05,0.465,0.045,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.045,0.05,0.05,0.055,0.41,0.45,0.445,0.42,0.055,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619026","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ak-tx-ks-oh","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Texas, Kansas, Ohio from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"AK < TX < KS < OH","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":712.581912,"volume_24hr":712.581912,"prob_24h_change":-0.41500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":712.581912,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.535104751586914,"normalized_volume":12.665380477905273,"liquidity":10094.5992,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T03:23:58.171439Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T03:23:58.171439Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ak-tx-ks-oh","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.46,0.09,0.095,0.11,0.33,0.09,0.35,0.105,0.085,0.07,0.085,0.075,0.065,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.07,0.095,0.09,0.115,0.09,0.095,0.45,0.435,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619030","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ak-ks-tx-oh","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Kansas, Texas, Ohio from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"AK < KS < TX < OH","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":469.2,"volume_24hr":469.2,"prob_24h_change":-0.435,"volume_24h_change":469.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.502172470092773,"normalized_volume":11.108217239379883,"liquidity":10068.341,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ak-ks-tx-oh","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.48,0.09,0.075,0.325,0.065,0.325,0.065,0.075,0.065,0.33,0.065,0.06,0.06,0.045,0.05,0.055,0.075,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.45,0.45,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619007","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-ak-oh-ks","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Texas, Alaska, Ohio, Kansas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"TX < AK < OH < KS","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":104.16496800000002,"volume_24hr":104.16496800000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.019500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":104.16496800000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.30185604095459,"normalized_volume":6.358965873718262,"liquidity":10121.99483,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-ak-oh-ks","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.05,0.06,0.065,0.34,0.065,0.34,0.065,0.065,0.095,0.055,0.08,0.085,0.08,0.065,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.425,0.315,0.43,0.42,0.031,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619028","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ak-oh-tx-ks","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Ohio, Texas, Kansas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"AK < OH < TX < KS","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.023,0.977],"probability":0.023,"spread":0.044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":274.0,"volume_24hr":274.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.027000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":274.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.083990097045898,"normalized_volume":9.255963325500488,"liquidity":10065.75216,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ak-oh-tx-ks","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.05,0.065,0.06,0.36,0.06,0.45,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.065,0.055,0.1,0.11,0.115,0.1,0.095,0.065,0.07,0.06,0.465,0.485,0.44,0.41,0.0235,0.023]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619005","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-ks-ak-oh","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Texas, Kansas, Alaska, Ohio from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"TX < KS < AK < OH","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.022,0.978],"probability":0.022,"spread":0.042,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":105.444446,"volume_24hr":105.444446,"prob_24h_change":-0.028000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":105.444446,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.345041275024414,"normalized_volume":6.392044544219971,"liquidity":10055.47975,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T03:47:41.989002Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T03:47:41.989002Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-ks-ak-oh","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.05,0.055,0.35,0.05,0.425,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.045,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.44,0.4735,0.4225,0.42,0.4185,0.022]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619009","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-ak-ks-oh","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Texas, Alaska, Kansas, Ohio from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"TX < AK < KS < OH","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.022,0.978],"probability":0.022,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":204.0,"volume_24hr":204.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.043000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":204.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.853041648864746,"normalized_volume":8.313095092773438,"liquidity":10115.119,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-ak-ks-oh","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.07,0.33,0.07,0.34,0.085,0.075,0.065,0.07,0.065,0.085,0.075,0.07,0.055,0.06,0.05,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.41,0.0225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619019","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ks-tx-ak-oh","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Kansas, Texas, Alaska, Ohio from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"KS < TX < AK < OH","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.022,0.978],"probability":0.022,"spread":0.042,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.033,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.15836238861084,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":10071.47551,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ks-tx-ak-oh","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.055,0.055,0.355,0.055,0.42,0.06,0.055,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.415,0.475,0.428,0.4185,0.417,0.0225,0.022]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619001","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ak-ks","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Texas, Ohio, Alaska, Kansas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"TX < OH < AK < KS","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":140.0,"volume_24hr":140.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.018500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":140.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.380579948425293,"normalized_volume":7.185234546661377,"liquidity":10054.2993,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T03:47:41.989002Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T03:47:41.989002Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ak-ks","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.04,0.05,0.455,0.055,0.41,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.055,0.07,0.05,0.055,0.045,0.455,0.465,0.425,0.41,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619003","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-ks-oh-ak","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Texas, Kansas, Ohio, Alaska from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"TX < KS < OH < AK","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.46349999999999997,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.921413898468018,"normalized_volume":4.535620212554932,"liquidity":10122.11862,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-ks-oh-ak","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.485,0.0295,0.0295,0.033,0.342,0.0325,0.3015,0.035,0.0335,0.034,0.0335,0.034,0.033,0.032,0.03,0.0285,0.029,0.0325,0.0315,0.0335,0.033,0.035,0.441,0.4295,0.429,0.4225,0.421,0.0225,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619010","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-oh-tx-ks-ak","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Ohio, Texas, Kansas, Alaska from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"OH < TX < KS < AK","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.006500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.921413898468018,"normalized_volume":4.535620212554932,"liquidity":10073.70191,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-oh-tx-ks-ak","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.028,0.028,0.0315,0.341,0.031,0.367,0.032,0.031,0.0325,0.031,0.032,0.031,0.03,0.0305,0.0285,0.029,0.0305,0.0305,0.0325,0.0365,0.0355,0.461,0.452,0.449,0.414,0.4135,0.0225,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619025","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ak-tx-oh-ks","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Texas, Ohio, Kansas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"AK < TX < OH < KS","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0215,0.9785],"probability":0.0215,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":114.184355,"volume_24hr":114.184355,"prob_24h_change":-0.0335,"volume_24h_change":114.184355,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.62958812713623,"normalized_volume":6.60999870300293,"liquidity":10067.23839,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ak-tx-oh-ks","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.055,0.07,0.065,0.295,0.105,0.375,0.065,0.065,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.105,0.115,0.125,0.11,0.115,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.44,0.455,0.43,0.41,0.021,0.0215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619015","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-oh-ak-tx-ks","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Kansas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"OH < AK < TX < KS","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":144.23077,"volume_24hr":144.23077,"prob_24h_change":-0.023999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":144.23077,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.49299430847168,"normalized_volume":7.271340847015381,"liquidity":10075.52549,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-oh-ak-tx-ks","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.045,0.055,0.355,0.05,0.355,0.05,0.05,0.055,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.065,0.085,0.095,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.485,0.44,0.41,0.415,0.0215,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619023","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ks-ak-tx-oh","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Kansas, Alaska, Texas, Ohio from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"KS < AK < TX < OH","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.429,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.282270431518555,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":10053.3912,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:38:46.829907Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ks-ak-tx-oh","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.45,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.33,0.055,0.425,0.065,0.06,0.05,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.045,0.055,0.05,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.425,0.435,0.425,0.42,0.022,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619011","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-oh-tx-ak-ks","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Ohio, Texas, Alaska, Kansas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"OH < TX < AK < KS","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0205,0.9795],"probability":0.0205,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":59.8,"volume_24hr":59.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.45449999999999996,"volume_24h_change":59.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.462656021118164,"normalized_volume":4.9501953125,"liquidity":10101.53962,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-oh-tx-ak-ks","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.475,0.045,0.05,0.475,0.05,0.43,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.055,0.045,0.46,0.475,0.435,0.42,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619031","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ak-ks-oh-tx","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, Texas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"AK < KS < OH < TX","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.595,0.775],"probability":0.595,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":19.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ak-ks-oh-tx","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.465,0.06,0.055,0.35,0.055,0.43,0.05,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.05,0.055,0.065,0.06,0.425,0.42,0.445,0.42,0.225,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619033","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-other","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Texas, Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska Senate margin of victory ranking?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-other","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619029","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ak-oh-ks-tx","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Ohio, Kansas, Texas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"AK < OH < KS < TX","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.105,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":93.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ak-oh-ks-tx","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.05,0.055,0.05,0.455,0.055,0.425,0.045,0.05,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.49,0.45,0.445,0.42,0.155,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619020","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ks-oh-tx-ak","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Kansas, Ohio, Texas, Alaska from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"KS < OH < TX < AK","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.141,0.859],"probability":0.141,"spread":0.078,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11099999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":92.42,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ks-oh-tx-ak","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.03,0.0295,0.0325,0.342,0.031,0.3755,0.033,0.0325,0.034,0.0325,0.033,0.0315,0.031,0.0295,0.028,0.0285,0.0315,0.031,0.0335,0.0355,0.0385,0.467,0.4665,0.429,0.4225,0.4165,0.1375,0.1575]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619016","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-oh-ak-ks-tx","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Ohio, Alaska, Kansas, Texas from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"OH < AK < KS < TX","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.033,0.967],"probability":0.033,"spread":0.064,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.011999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":99.1569,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-oh-ak-ks-tx","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.045,0.05,0.34,0.05,0.395,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.045,0.05,0.42,0.45,0.425,0.42,0.05,0.032]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6618999","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"TX < OH < KS < AK","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0075,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":10076.54699,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:12:01.164573Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.0285,0.0285,0.032,0.3425,0.032,0.3495,0.0335,0.0315,0.033,0.032,0.033,0.032,0.031,0.0305,0.029,0.0295,0.0315,0.031,0.0325,0.0345,0.426,0.44,0.437,0.4295,0.42,0.0215,0.021]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619018","event_id":"1305365","slug":"senate-margin-ranking-ks-tx-oh-ak","question":"Will the Senate margins of victory rank Kansas, Texas, Ohio, Alaska from lowest to highest?","group_item_title":"KS < TX < OH < AK","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the order of the margins of victory in the 2026 United States Senate elections in Texas, Ohio (special election), Kansas, and Alaska, ranked from lowest (closest) to highest.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant round of the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.\n\nIf two or more of these states have identical margins of victory, the tie will be broken alphabetically by state name, with the state that comes first alphabetically treated as having the smaller margin of victory.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote counts once the counts have been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before any applicable vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/senate-margin-ranking-tx-oh-ks-ak-n1N1t7RU1hsZ.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:00:56Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":10096.119,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T05:03:51.724330Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.363401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/senate-mov-ranking-texas-ohio-kansas-alaska/senate-margin-ranking-ks-tx-oh-ak","event_title":"Senate MOV Ranking: Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska","chart_24h":[0.0305,0.03,0.034,0.3435,0.0325,0.35,0.0355,0.034,0.035,0.034,0.0345,0.0335,0.0325,0.03,0.029,0.0325,0.032,0.034,0.0355,0.0375,0.459,0.443,0.4365,0.432,0.425,0.0235,0.0215]}]}