{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1305426","as_of":"2026-11-05T14:26:21.514904Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner\" — \"Person A\" leads at 50% across 9 outcomes as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1305426","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1305426","ticker":"swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner","slug":"swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner","title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-flag-919a3ab8f9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-flag-919a3ab8f9.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1755.409468,"volume_24hr":834.224064,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.945470809936523,"normalized_volume":12.665106773376465,"liquidity":2475.1289,"open_interest":710.94019,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1379","slug":"switzerland","label":"Switzerland"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.439106Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.439106Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.723785Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner","chart_24h":[913.067554,983.132488,1003.132488,1387.308284,1407.328284,1407.328284,1407.328284,1382.328284,1382.328284,1362.328284,1362.328284,1362.328284,1362.328284,1402.328284,1402.328284,1402.328284,1402.3282840000002,1402.328284,1429.328284,1429.388284,1501.8990370000001,1501.8990370000001,1501.8990370000001,1481.8990370000001,1471.8990370000001,1095.76035,973.494064],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619160","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-celine-amaudruz-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Céline Amaudruz win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Céline Amaudruz","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-amaudruz-359da5221d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-amaudruz-359da5221d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":182.97418199999998,"volume_24hr":53.234934,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":-76.56924799999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.915772438049316,"normalized_volume":7.978527545928955,"liquidity":235.8156,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-celine-amaudruz-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.355,0.395,0.375,0.4,0.405,0.365,0.355,0.37,0.365,0.375,0.355,0.365,0.365,0.435,0.385,0.405,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.345,0.315,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619166","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-jean-pierre-gallati-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Jean-Pierre Gallati win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Jean-Pierre Gallati","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-gallati-11dec70beb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-gallati-11dec70beb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":371.54846200000003,"volume_24hr":133.73,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":72.19153799999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.057027816772461,"normalized_volume":10.283607482910156,"liquidity":250.3252,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-jean-pierre-gallati-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.165,0.115,0.105,0.095,0.085,0.085,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.275,0.27]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619182","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-remy-wyssmann-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Rémy Wyssmann win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Rémy Wyssmann","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-wyssmann-3359ddab11.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-wyssmann-3359ddab11.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":107.992446,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":-27.992446,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.884098052978516,"normalized_volume":6.456997871398926,"liquidity":220.5937,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-remy-wyssmann-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.075,0.08,0.245,0.085,0.09,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.085,0.105,0.21,0.27,0.255,0.235,0.24,0.255,0.275,0.265,0.245,0.28,0.265,0.25,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619174","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-franz-ruppen-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Franz Ruppen win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Franz Ruppen","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. 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Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-aeschi-53ed52e9d1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-aeschi-53ed52e9d1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":550.34698,"volume_24hr":470.23913000000005,"prob_24h_change":-0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":393.24913000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.16604995727539,"normalized_volume":11.690479278564453,"liquidity":755.6421,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T13:57:51.395630Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T13:57:51.395630Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-thomas-aeschi-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.155,0.155,0.155,0.08,0.08,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619172","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-michael-graber-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Michael Graber win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Michael Graber","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-graber-ab81db1922.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-graber-ab81db1922.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":108.53999999999999,"volume_24hr":67.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":25.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.596609115600586,"normalized_volume":6.470799922943115,"liquidity":201.1503,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-michael-graber-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.195,0.085,0.055,0.06,0.215,0.23,0.235,0.215,0.21,0.215,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.06,0.065,0.075,0.285,0.33,0.345,0.33,0.32,0.345,0.335,0.34,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619203","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will someone else win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-flag-919a3ab8f9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-flag-919a3ab8f9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-someone-else-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619162","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-marco-chiesa-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Marco Chiesa win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Marco Chiesa","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-chiesa-dde05d3c44.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-chiesa-dde05d3c44.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":193.07999999999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-188.07999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.142997741699219,"liquidity":195.1929,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-marco-chiesa-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.26,0.255,0.26,0.265,0.26,0.27,0.265,0.265,0.27,0.265,0.27,0.27,0.265,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6619179","event_id":"1305426","slug":"will-pierre-alain-schnegg-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","question":"Will Pierre Alain Schnegg win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?","group_item_title":"Pierre Alain Schnegg","description":"Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAn individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-schnegg-0e53247d54.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ch-fc26-schnegg-0e53247d54.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-03T03:08:32Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":78.256286,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-78.256286,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.609768390655518,"liquidity":269.049,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Switzerland"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T14:24:19.593430Z","added_at":"2026-11-03T03:20:16.823926Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/swiss-federal-council-by-election-winner/will-pierre-alain-schnegg-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election","event_title":"Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.215,0.225,0.235,0.285,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.255,0.265,0.25,0.255,0.23,0.245,0.205,0.19,0.19,0.265,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.285,0.275,0.26]}]}