{"source":"polymarket","id":"130985","ticker":"thailand-strikes-cambodia-by","slug":"thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-966","title":"Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday-s2_f6oWpx1-Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday-s2_f6oWpx1-Q.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-29T21:55:07.921872Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":166778.66930899996,"volume_24hr":2135.429913,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.73881721496582,"normalized_volume":31.748821258544922,"liquidity":4670.61392,"open_interest":24885.69045,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"102437","slug":"thailand-cambodia","label":"Thailand-Cambodia"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"102434","slug":"asia","label":"Asia"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":448.07563400000004,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:28.057844Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:28.057844Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-966","chart_24h":[1687.354279,2678.744279,2680.364279,2709.344279,3417.172126,3417.172126,3444.199152,3471.011152,3471.011152,3493.981152,3493.981152,3595.417152,3595.417152,3595.417152,3595.417152,3595.417152,3594.37113,3594.37113,3594.37113,3594.37113,3594.37113,3594.37113,3785.9629680000003,3785.9629680000003,3785.9629680000003,2150.673096,2153.470136,2153.470136,2153.470136,2153.470136,2153.470136,2164.415419,2135.429913],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1057402","event_id":"130985","slug":"thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-june-30-2026","question":"Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday-s2_f6oWpx1-Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday-s2_f6oWpx1-Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-29T21:46:48.060713Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":122365.99145499997,"volume_24hr":2135.429913,"prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":448.07563400000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.409730911254883,"normalized_volume":35.202335357666016,"liquidity":4670.61392,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Thailand","Cambodia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:47:39.392549Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-966/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?","chart_24h":[0.062,0.0545,0.055,0.0555,0.0595,0.062,0.0635,0.066,0.0655,0.0665,0.0615,0.104,0.101,0.0735,0.1105,0.079,0.0995,0.079,0.1135,0.117,0.1145,0.109,0.0765,0.083,0.082,0.081,0.082,0.101,0.085,0.082,0.08,0.067,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1057401","event_id":"130985","slug":"thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-january-31-2026","question":"Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"January 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to \"Yes\") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday-s2_f6oWpx1-Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday-s2_f6oWpx1-Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-29T21:46:47.807271Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-01T09:58:48Z","volume":44412.677854,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.374908447265625,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-966/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-january-31-2026","event_title":"Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/130985","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:05:36.399397Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?\" — top market at 6% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}