{"source":"polymarket","id":"131397","ticker":"natural-disaster-in-2026","slug":"natural-disaster-in-2026","title":"Natural Disaster in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:\n\n- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US\n- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)\n- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)\n- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-31T19:17:44.360933Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":222610.07134099893,"volume_24hr":9.129999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.165126323699951,"normalized_volume":33.287261962890625,"liquidity":1466.0339,"open_interest":18609.240081,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and 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Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-322.402188,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:10.397864Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:10.397864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/natural-disaster-in-2026","chart_24h":[331.532188,331.532188,331.532188,336.742188,336.742188,336.742188,336.742188,336.742188,336.742188,336.742188,331.412188,331.412188,331.412188,331.412188,331.412188,331.412188,331.412188,331.412188,335.332188,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,313.99564,28.130000000000003,9.129999999999999,9.129999999999999,9.129999999999999,9.129999999999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1058997","event_id":"131397","slug":"natural-disaster-in-2026","question":"Natural Disaster in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:\n\n- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US\n- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)\n- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)\n- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-31T19:10:49.756565Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":222610.07134099893,"volume_24hr":9.129999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-322.402188,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.2224159240722656,"normalized_volume":38.89052200317383,"liquidity":1535.0845,"categories":["Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:15:15.480235Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/natural-disaster-in-2026/natural-disaster-in-2026","event_title":"Natural Disaster in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.255,0.24,0.245,0.255,0.245,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.255,0.245,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.245,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.235,0.235,0.24]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/131397","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:08:11.226655Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Natural Disaster in 2026?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}