{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/131397","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:19:25.869321Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Natural Disaster in 2026?\" — 12% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/131397","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/natural-disaster-in-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"131397","ticker":"natural-disaster-in-2026","slug":"natural-disaster-in-2026","title":"Natural Disaster in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:\n\n- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US\n- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)\n- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)\n- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-31T19:10:49.756565Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":251176.439237,"volume_24hr":316.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.736032485961914,"normalized_volume":35.11228561401367,"liquidity":996.6544,"open_interest":24224.713965,"categories":["Climate and 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conditions are met during 2026 ET:\n\n- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US\n- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)\n- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)\n- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/natural-disaster-in-2026-XCcDaLjjRFc0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-31T19:10:49.756565Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":251176.439237,"volume_24hr":316.16,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":156.75000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.192959785461426,"normalized_volume":45.35905456542969,"liquidity":996.6388,"categories":["Climate and 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