{"source":"polymarket","id":"131764","ticker":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T22:48:20.133000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":813937.3135369993,"volume_24hr":4146.737158,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.024269104003906,"normalized_volume":42.095184326171875,"liquidity":57510.5503,"open_interest":152689.312984,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"105326","slug":"20-50-daily","label":"20 (50) daily"},{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.825,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4086.737158,"updated_at":"2026-10-05T20:59:31.114114Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T20:59:31.114114Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-2026","chart_24h":[60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,50.0,55.13,61.227561,66.547561,16.547561,16.547561,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,22.637560999999998,74.627561,78.554388,78.554388,78.554388,78.554388,2902.544388,4098.544387999999,4098.544387999999,4098.544387999999,4146.737158],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1060714","event_id":"131764","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","question":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.825,0.175],"probability":0.825,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T22:48:20.133000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":813937.3135369993,"volume_24hr":4146.737158,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":4086.737158,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.48996353149414,"normalized_volume":54.34273147583008,"liquidity":57457.1503,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T20:59:31.770624Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T20:59:31.770624Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-2026/nothing-ever-happens-2026","event_title":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","chart_24h":[0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.825,0.815,0.815,0.825,0.825]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/131764","as_of":"2026-10-05T21:17:19.074199Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026\" — top market at 82% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}