{"source":"polymarket","id":"131764","ticker":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T22:48:20.133000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":624514.1426049977,"volume_24hr":2554.705512,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.414506912231445,"normalized_volume":37.44950866699219,"liquidity":43327.3322,"open_interest":109591.914194,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"105326","slug":"20-50-daily","label":"20 (50) daily"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1848.584889,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T23:56:49.176850Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T23:56:49.176850Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-2026","chart_24h":[706.120623,706.120623,696.780623,730.590144,730.590144,730.590144,583.86777,583.86777,488.39777,488.39777,488.39777,488.39777,488.39777,621.27777,454.44777,454.44777,454.44777,471.59777,471.59777,471.59777,471.59777,464.49777,464.49777,448.909536,389.7919,389.7919,422.5119,2697.1278909999996,2697.1278909999996,2760.657891,2560.657891,2560.657891,2554.705512],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1060714","event_id":"131764","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","question":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.815,0.185],"probability":0.815,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T22:48:20.133000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":624514.1426049977,"volume_24hr":2554.705512,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":1848.584889,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.794374465942383,"normalized_volume":49.36260223388672,"liquidity":47335.449,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T23:16:11.430119Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T23:13:13.086216Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-2026/nothing-ever-happens-2026","event_title":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83,0.83,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.835,0.825,0.825,0.825,0.825,0.825,0.82,0.825,0.825,0.82,0.825,0.82,0.825,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/131764","as_of":"2026-06-23T00:14:00.367886Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026\" — top market at 82% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}