{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1329400","as_of":"2026-11-07T20:59:48.654817Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?\" — 2 markets; highest \"December 31, 2026\" at 26% as of 2026-11-07 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1329400","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/aleksandar-vucic-arrested-byptptpt"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1329400","ticker":"aleksandar-vucic-arrested-byptptpt","slug":"aleksandar-vucic-arrested-byptptpt","title":"Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Aleksandar Vučić is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vucic-sad-00ff34a947.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vucic-sad-00ff34a947.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-07T03:55:01Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2602.3224850000006,"volume_24hr":2602.3224849999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.937990188598633,"normalized_volume":14.03043270111084,"liquidity":7845.9173,"open_interest":1482.557632,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100860","slug":"serbia","label":"Serbia"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.255,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.235,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1107.666362,"updated_at":"2026-11-07T20:49:51.487564Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T20:49:51.487564Z","added_at":"2026-11-07T07:04:24.090545Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/aleksandar-vucic-arrested-byptptpt","chart_24h":[1.0204,1.0204,4.634858,4.634858,4.634858,487.535566,639.209246,639.209246,640.3203560000001,790.13918,800.55583,1043.770135,2040.442517,2349.092517,2349.0925169999996,2602.322485,2602.3224849999997],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6770015","event_id":"1329400","slug":"aleksandar-vucic-arrested-by-december-31-2026","question":"Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Aleksandar Vučić is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vucic-sad-00ff34a947.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vucic-sad-00ff34a947.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-07T03:55:01Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1107.6663620000002,"volume_24hr":1107.666362,"prob_24h_change":-0.235,"volume_24h_change":1107.666362,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.574922561645508,"normalized_volume":14.421066284179688,"liquidity":3146.2571,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T20:49:51.554261Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T20:49:51.554261Z","added_at":"2026-11-07T07:04:24.319059Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/aleksandar-vucic-arrested-byptptpt/aleksandar-vucic-arrested-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.485,0.5,0.155,0.355,0.225,0.145,0.145,0.165,0.205,0.205,0.435,0.295,0.295,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6770014","event_id":"1329400","slug":"aleksandar-vucic-arrested-by-november-30-2026","question":"Aleksandar Vučić arrested by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Aleksandar Vučić is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vucic-sad-00ff34a947.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vucic-sad-00ff34a947.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0945,0.9055],"probability":0.0945,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-07T03:55:01Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1494.6561230000002,"volume_24hr":1494.656123,"prob_24h_change":-0.4704999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1493.6357229999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.369787216186523,"normalized_volume":15.679095268249512,"liquidity":4690.2802,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-11-07T20:49:51.554261Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T20:49:51.554261Z","added_at":"2026-11-07T07:04:24.319059Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/aleksandar-vucic-arrested-byptptpt/aleksandar-vucic-arrested-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.565,0.535,0.365,0.37,0.16,0.05,0.055,0.04,0.035,0.0575,0.0555,0.056,0.134,0.095,0.095,0.0945,0.0945]}]}