{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1353296","as_of":"2026-11-11T23:12:58.613256Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office\" — \"3m-4m\" leads at 46% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-11-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1353296","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1353296","ticker":"ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108","slug":"ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108","title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":366.091054,"volume_24hr":148.076596,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.366415977478027,"normalized_volume":7.909051895141602,"liquidity":4240.4348,"open_interest":167.39999799999998,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"3m-4m","top_outcome_probability":0.46,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.537722Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.537722Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:03.674645Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108","chart_24h":[218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,218.014458,133.214458,133.214458,154.491054,174.491054,170.876596,170.876596,148.076596,148.076596,148.076596,148.076596,148.076596,148.076596],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919778","event_id":"1353296","slug":"will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-4m-and-5m-20261108","question":"Will \"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?","group_item_title":"4m-5m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":277.676596,"volume_24hr":148.076596,"prob_24h_change":-0.12999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":18.476596,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.139906883239746,"normalized_volume":9.299786567687988,"liquidity":293.5988,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108/will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-4m-and-5m-20261108","event_title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.355,0.365,0.375,0.38,0.45,0.415,0.42,0.395,0.31,0.275,0.26,0.255,0.245,0.24]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919777","event_id":"1353296","slug":"will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-3m-and-4m-20261108","question":"Will \"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?","group_item_title":"3m-4m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":189.6196,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108/will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-3m-and-4m-20261108","event_title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.38,0.355,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.285,0.325,0.315,0.265,0.275,0.27,0.265,0.28,0.32,0.305,0.315,0.305,0.3,0.315,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.47,0.485,0.485,0.455,0.45,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919776","event_id":"1353296","slug":"will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-3m-20261108","question":"Will \"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?","group_item_title":"<3m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":88.414458,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-88.414458,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.923462390899658,"liquidity":271.069,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108/will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-3m-20261108","event_title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.395,0.4,0.42,0.425,0.43,0.42,0.425,0.425,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.345,0.385,0.435,0.44,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919779","event_id":"1353296","slug":"will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-5m-and-6m-20261108","question":"Will \"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?","group_item_title":"5m-6m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.14499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":269.8585,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T22:50:09.894313Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108/will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-5m-and-6m-20261108","event_title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.345,0.34,0.05,0.325,0.345,0.275,0.265,0.295,0.245,0.255,0.245,0.28,0.25,0.265,0.275,0.27,0.26,0.275,0.265,0.185,0.225,0.195,0.175,0.305,0.275,0.25,0.25,0.215,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919780","event_id":"1353296","slug":"will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-6m-and-7m-20261108","question":"Will \"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?","group_item_title":"6m-7m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1644.5599,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T21:15:28.482585Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T21:15:28.482585Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108/will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-6m-and-7m-20261108","event_title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.355,0.335,0.05,0.265,0.26,0.255,0.27,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.235,0.245,0.235,0.24,0.185,0.225,0.19,0.23,0.245,0.235,0.25,0.25,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919781","event_id":"1353296","slug":"will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-7m-20261108","question":"Will \"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?","group_item_title":"7m+","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Ghost Soldier\" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the \"Box Office\" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the \"Weekend\" figure for the movie's first weekend on the \"Domestic Weekend\" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page.\n\nIf neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bo-poster-ghost-soldier-4ee9e607e6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:07:42Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1610.4391,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T21:15:28.482585Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T21:15:28.482585Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-20261108/will-ghost-soldier-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-7m-20261108","event_title":"\"Ghost Soldier\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.34,0.345,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.245,0.24,0.245,0.225,0.23,0.225,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.225,0.23,0.185,0.225,0.255,0.215,0.235,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.155]}]}