{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1353338","as_of":"2026-11-11T00:59:54.963679Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?\" — \"2–6s\" leads at 44% across 7 outcomes as of 2026-11-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1353338","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1353338","ticker":"how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118","slug":"how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118","title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4162.498543,"volume_24hr":4271.511871,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.024377822875977,"normalized_volume":15.752058029174805,"liquidity":26694.84197,"open_interest":2249.699786,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"101522","slug":"japan","label":"Japan"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104755","slug":"takaichi","label":"Takaichi"},{"id":"648","slug":"xi-jinping","label":"xi jinping"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2–6s","top_outcome_probability":0.435,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":854.9421070000001,"updated_at":"2026-11-11T00:42:40.429282Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T00:42:40.429282Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:03.674645Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,21.0,28.46,28.46,262.4804,517.315151,744.767898,785.054643,1436.324643,1499.352501,1521.552501,1610.2562,1632.87815,1652.8781499999998,1652.87815,1977.4395749999999,1979.481675,1979.481675,2003.2471309999999,2061.9321969999996,2061.932197,2061.932197,2061.932197,2061.932197,4131.716778,4133.086778,4162.498543],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919842","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-2-6s","question":"Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the summit?","group_item_title":"2–6s","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":854.942107,"volume_24hr":854.9421070000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":854.9421070000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.019866943359375,"normalized_volume":13.376397132873535,"liquidity":6110.7013,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T00:42:40.614865Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T00:42:40.614865Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-2-6s","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.42,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.42,0.425,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919844","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-6-10s","question":"Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the summit?","group_item_title":"6–10s","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1498.7116879999999,"volume_24hr":1607.725016,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":1607.725016,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.13205337524414,"normalized_volume":15.690712928771973,"liquidity":5141.8962,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["China","Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T00:42:40.614865Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T00:42:40.614865Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-6-10s","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.205,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.185,0.205,0.19,0.195,0.2,0.195,0.175,0.19,0.195,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.265,0.25,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919838","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-none","question":"Will Xi and Takaichi not shake hands during the summit?","group_item_title":"No Handshake","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":153.807165,"volume_24hr":153.807165,"prob_24h_change":-0.145,"volume_24h_change":153.807165,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.721299171447754,"normalized_volume":7.459074020385742,"liquidity":1963.6723,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["China","Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T23:45:19.883261Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T23:45:19.883261Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-none","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.305,0.46,0.285,0.135,0.13,0.085,0.07,0.12,0.125,0.135,0.14,0.145,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.145,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919850","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-photo-only","question":"Will Xi and Takaichi only be photographed shaking hands during the summit?","group_item_title":"Photographed only","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":61.941029,"volume_24hr":61.941029,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":61.941029,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.91044282913208,"normalized_volume":5.033962249755859,"liquidity":1703.9792,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["China","Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-photo-only","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.25,0.19,0.145,0.14,0.125,0.065,0.1,0.06,0.045,0.08,0.05,0.045,0.055,0.055,0.04,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.055,0.06,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.085,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919846","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-10-15s","question":"Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the summit?","group_item_title":"10–15s","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":781.3,"volume_24hr":781.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":781.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.46347427368164,"normalized_volume":13.022324562072754,"liquidity":4009.5714,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["China","Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-10-15s","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.445,0.24,0.065,0.07,0.215,0.15,0.075,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.115,0.14,0.07,0.065,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919840","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-under-2s","question":"Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the summit?","group_item_title":"<2s","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":605.0321,"volume_24hr":605.0321,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":605.0321,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.925151824951172,"normalized_volume":12.043384552001953,"liquidity":3621.4304,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["China","Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-under-2s","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.26,0.265,0.09,0.095,0.16,0.2,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.1,0.065,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.055,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6919848","event_id":"1353338","slug":"xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-15s-plus","question":"Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the summit?","group_item_title":"15s+","description":"Sanae Takaichi is scheduled to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen, China, on November 18–19, 2026, which will be hosted by Xi Jinping.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Xi Jinping and Sanae Takaichi during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Sanae Takaichi enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory.\n\nIf no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nIf a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to \"Photographed only\".\n\nDuration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.\n\nIf the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nQualifying Requirements:\nThe handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.\nDirect hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).\nThe handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.\n\nNon-qualifying examples:\nFist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.\nAny handshake that is too unclear to measure.\nOnly photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.\n\nVideo or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (Shenzhen time) of the summit to qualify.\n\nThis market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (Shenzhen time) that Sanae Takaichi physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Sanae Takaichi does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Shenzhen time, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.\n\nThe resolution source will be video footage.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-xi-takaichi-handshake-d21c68a734.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0205,0.9795],"probability":0.0205,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T02:15:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":206.76445399999997,"volume_24hr":206.764454,"prob_24h_change":-0.45449999999999996,"volume_24h_change":206.764454,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.129149436950684,"normalized_volume":8.354987144470215,"liquidity":3566.96535,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T23:20:47.763495Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T02:22:05.087547Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-xi-and-takaichi-shake-hands-20261118/xi-takaichi-apec-handshake-15s-plus","event_title":"How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.255,0.245,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.105,0.115,0.0855,0.0675,0.0675,0.053,0.0755,0.067,0.052,0.0365,0.0455,0.046,0.0485,0.05,0.0335,0.031,0.033,0.033,0.0205]}]}