{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1358873","as_of":"2026-11-13T15:57:48.389119Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?\" — \"1.50\" or more\" leads at 97% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1358873","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1358873","ticker":"precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15","slug":"precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15","title":"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) \"YESTERDAY\" values, as shown in the \"OBSERVED VALUE\" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace (\"T\") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing (\"M\" or \"MM\") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.\n\nThis market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.\n\nResolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T20:19:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3103.904327,"volume_24hr":2628.202375,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.782970428466797,"normalized_volume":14.660057067871094,"liquidity":16110.03957,"open_interest":1776.36906,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"105879","slug":"rain","label":"rain"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"87","slug":"climate","label":"climate"},{"id":"103041","slug":"precipitation","label":"Precipitation"},{"id":"104180","slug":"weather-science","label":"Weather & Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"1.50\" or more","top_outcome_probability":0.9725,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.7175,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1972.522375,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.231678Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.231678Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T20:32:56.432772Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15","chart_24h":[181.0,161.0,161.0,161.0,882.6525,1149.3525,1349.3525,1549.3525,1629.3525,1782.275915,2074.783115,2337.542375,2337.542375,2337.542375,2659.202375,2659.202375,2659.202375,2659.202375,2664.202375,2669.202375,2669.202375,2709.202375,2709.202375,2548.202375,2548.202375,2548.202375,2548.202375,2548.202375,2628.202375],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6943948","event_id":"1358873","slug":"nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-150-or-more","question":"Will NYC get 1.50\" or more of rain November 12 to 15?","group_item_title":"1.50\" or more","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) \"YESTERDAY\" values, as shown in the \"OBSERVED VALUE\" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace (\"T\") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing (\"M\" or \"MM\") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.\n\nThis market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.\n\nResolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9725,0.0275],"probability":0.9725,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T20:19:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2152.522375,"volume_24hr":2052.522375,"prob_24h_change":0.7175,"volume_24h_change":1972.522375,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.48687171936035,"normalized_volume":17.28180694580078,"liquidity":1616.17457,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.568003Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.568003Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T20:32:56.493121Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15/nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-150-or-more","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.36,0.55,0.48,0.355,0.365,0.415,0.515,0.795,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.984,0.9835,0.9835,0.9835,0.9595,0.9575,0.959,0.9575,0.958,0.9575,0.9735,0.9725]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6943947","event_id":"1358873","slug":"nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-100-149","question":"Will NYC get between 1.00\" and 1.49\" of rain November 12 to 15?","group_item_title":"1.00 - 1.49\"","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) \"YESTERDAY\" values, as shown in the \"OBSERVED VALUE\" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace (\"T\") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing (\"M\" or \"MM\") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.\n\nThis market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.\n\nResolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.046,0.954],"probability":0.046,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T20:19:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.334,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3512935638427734,"normalized_volume":0.9419060945510864,"liquidity":3633.197,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.568003Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.568003Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T20:32:56.493121Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15/nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-100-149","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.375,0.34,0.34,0.205,0.2,0.05,0.0365,0.028,0.0335,0.026,0.0255,0.043,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.0415,0.04,0.046]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6943945","event_id":"1358873","slug":"nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-025-049","question":"Will NYC get between 0.25\" and 0.49\" of rain November 12 to 15?","group_item_title":"0.25 - 0.49\"","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) \"YESTERDAY\" values, as shown in the \"OBSERVED VALUE\" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace (\"T\") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing (\"M\" or \"MM\") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.\n\nThis market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.\n\nResolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.041,0.959],"probability":0.041,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T20:19:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":35.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.144,"volume_24h_change":-25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3512935638427734,"normalized_volume":3.7676243782043457,"liquidity":3434.563,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.568003Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:38:50.568003Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T20:32:56.493121Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15/nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-025-049","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?","chart_24h":[0.185,0.14,0.15,0.155,0.15,0.05,0.0355,0.0285,0.03,0.026,0.0265,0.0425,0.042,0.043,0.042,0.043,0.043,0.039,0.041]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6943944","event_id":"1358873","slug":"nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-under-025","question":"Will NYC get under 0.25\" of rain November 12 to 15?","group_item_title":"Under 0.25\"","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) \"YESTERDAY\" values, as shown in the \"OBSERVED VALUE\" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace (\"T\") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing (\"M\" or \"MM\") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.\n\nThis market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.\n\nResolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T20:19:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":75.9901,"volume_24hr":23.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.004,"volume_24h_change":-27.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.358958721160889,"normalized_volume":5.535581111907959,"liquidity":2230.505,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T10:49:37.299666Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T10:49:37.299666Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T20:32:56.493121Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15/nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-under-025","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?","chart_24h":[0.0305,0.0265,0.025,0.024,0.025,0.0245,0.0265,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6943946","event_id":"1358873","slug":"nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-050-099","question":"Will NYC get between 0.50\" and 0.99\" of rain November 12 to 15?","group_item_title":"0.50 - 0.99\"","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) \"YESTERDAY\" values, as shown in the \"OBSERVED VALUE\" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace (\"T\") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing (\"M\" or \"MM\") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.\n\nThis market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.\n\nResolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-10T20:19:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":835.391852,"volume_24hr":541.7,"prob_24h_change":-0.26999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":521.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.687702178955078,"normalized_volume":13.28500747680664,"liquidity":4045.34175,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:12:36.037904Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:12:36.037904Z","added_at":"2026-11-10T20:32:56.493121Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-november-12-to-15/nyc-precipitation-november-12-to-15-050-099","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?","chart_24h":[0.295,0.28,0.275,0.315,0.265,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.0345,0.0265,0.015,0.0145,0.015,0.0345,0.0345,0.029,0.025]}]}