{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1360233","as_of":"2026-11-12T01:57:57.678755Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"When will Trump leave China?\" — \"November 19\" leads at 90% across 8 outcomes as of 2026-11-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1360233","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1360233","ticker":"when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110","slug":"when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110","title":"When will Trump leave China?","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8723.588526,"volume_24hr":8723.588526,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.10249328613281,"normalized_volume":18.671659469604492,"liquidity":30412.37187,"open_interest":3883.978513,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"106569","slug":"apec","label":"APEC"},{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"648","slug":"xi-jinping","label":"xi jinping"},{"id":"104862","slug":"trump-xi-summit","label":"Trump-Xi Summit"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"November 19","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2746.5914700000003,"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:40.996581Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:40.996581Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.208958Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110","chart_24h":[30.0,30.0,42.040800000000004,42.040800000000004,42.040800000000004,45.0816,64.5616,64.5616,64.5616,64.5616,64.5616,113.728267,297.888267,303.84826699999996,303.848267,318.84826699999996,377.49155299999995,403.521078,719.093119,723.780619,743.8829519999999,763.8829519999999,763.8829519999999,1272.088968,1516.522302,1585.5323560000002,1585.5323560000002,1651.6965340000002,6676.120978,8723.588526],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948156","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-on-november-19","question":"Will Trump leave China on November 19?","group_item_title":"November 19","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.1],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-20T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2746.59147,"volume_24hr":2746.5914700000003,"prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":2746.5914700000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.8901424407959,"normalized_volume":18.3963565826416,"liquidity":3503.5902,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-on-november-19","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.445,0.445,0.435,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.43,0.345,0.495,0.47,0.48,0.495,0.69,0.705,0.655,0.66,0.66,0.835,0.9]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948157","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-on-november-20","question":"Will Trump leave China on November 20?","group_item_title":"November 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1125.889091,"volume_24hr":1125.889091,"prob_24h_change":-0.41500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":1125.889091,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.965126037597656,"normalized_volume":14.488212585449219,"liquidity":3939.7433,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-on-november-20","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.475,0.46,0.475,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.645,0.64,0.635,0.64,0.635,0.65,0.405,0.42,0.61,0.45,0.46,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.165,0.175,0.18,0.175,0.12,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948155","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-on-november-18","question":"Will Trump leave China on November 18?","group_item_title":"November 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0185,0.9815],"probability":0.0185,"spread":0.031,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1200.79164,"volume_24hr":1200.79164,"prob_24h_change":-0.3215,"volume_24h_change":1200.79164,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.369264602661133,"normalized_volume":14.754783630371094,"liquidity":3872.18402,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-on-november-18","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.345,0.12,0.065,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.085,0.06,0.06,0.065,0.0275,0.0185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948161","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-not-visit-china-by-november-22","question":"Will Trump not visit China by November 22?","group_item_title":"No visit by November 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.015,0.985],"probability":0.015,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":681.6078089999999,"volume_24hr":681.607809,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":681.607809,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.943082809448242,"normalized_volume":12.49487018585205,"liquidity":5400.87479,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-not-visit-china-by-november-22","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.135,0.125,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.045,0.0445,0.0395,0.0395,0.006,0.015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948158","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-on-november-21","question":"Will Trump leave China on November 21?","group_item_title":"November 21","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-22T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":756.7931330000001,"volume_24hr":756.793133,"prob_24h_change":-0.3285,"volume_24h_change":756.793133,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.554553985595703,"normalized_volume":12.898197174072266,"liquidity":1893.77228,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-on-november-21","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.345,0.34,0.445,0.23,0.225,0.225,0.0295,0.03,0.0305,0.0115,0.0115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948159","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-on-november-22","question":"Will Trump leave China on November 22?","group_item_title":"November 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":615.20795,"volume_24hr":615.20795,"prob_24h_change":-0.2195,"volume_24h_change":615.20795,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.35363006591797,"normalized_volume":12.106066703796387,"liquidity":3402.68424,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-on-november-22","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.23,0.05,0.04,0.0315,0.0275,0.0235,0.0195,0.019,0.0105,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948154","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-before-november-18","question":"Will Trump leave China before November 18?","group_item_title":"Before November 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":905.5656000000001,"volume_24hr":905.5656,"prob_24h_change":-0.483,"volume_24h_change":905.5656,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.62615966796875,"normalized_volume":13.605029106140137,"liquidity":4190.93698,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-before-november-18","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.135,0.11,0.095,0.085,0.06,0.065,0.014,0.014,0.009,0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.0135,0.0095,0.0095,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.006,0.007]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"6948160","event_id":"1360233","slug":"will-trump-leave-china-after-november-22","question":"Will Trump leave China after November 22?","group_item_title":"After November 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.\n\nA \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.\n\nIf Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-trump-leave-china-rmZ8n2FKq0LS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-11T00:30:02Z","end_date":"2026-11-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":691.141833,"volume_24hr":691.141833,"prob_24h_change":-0.253,"volume_24h_change":691.141833,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.023693084716797,"normalized_volume":12.548040390014648,"liquidity":4099.87106,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T01:46:41.577005Z","added_at":"2026-11-11T00:43:06.256670Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-leave-china-20261110/will-trump-leave-china-after-november-22","event_title":"When will Trump leave China?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.255,0.255,0.065,0.055,0.0395,0.0365,0.011,0.011,0.0115,0.0115,0.002]}]}