{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1383747","as_of":"2026-11-14T04:53:29.146260Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?\" — \"November 26\" leads at 44% across 50 outcomes as of 2026-11-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1383747","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1383747","ticker":"next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113","slug":"next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113","title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6384.81,"volume_24hr":6384.81,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.85995101928711,"normalized_volume":17.40739631652832,"liquidity":10083.10551,"open_interest":2355.295019,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1410","slug":"gemini","label":"Gemini"},{"id":"663","slug":"google","label":"google"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"},{"id":"106541","slug":"gemini-carbon","label":"Gemini Carbon"},{"id":"106540","slug":"gemini-4-carbon","label":"Gemini 4 Carbon"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"November 26","top_outcome_probability":0.44,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":128.67,"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.619381Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.619381Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.564998Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,6384.81],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":50,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029435","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-26-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 26","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-27T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":125.4233,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-26-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.455,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029430","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-21-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 21","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-22T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":146.6334,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-21-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.46,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029437","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-28-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 28","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-29T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":114.6249,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-28-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.455,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029440","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-1-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 1","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.57],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":122.5544,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-1-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.45,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029444","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-3-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 3","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.57],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":138.8489,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-3-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.445,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029434","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-25-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-26T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":181.5334,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-25-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.45,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029439","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-30-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":163.3132,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-30-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.445,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029488","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-28-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 28","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-29T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":59.7683,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-28-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.445,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029429","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-20-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":176.1084,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-20-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.45,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029432","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-23-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 23","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.415,0.585],"probability":0.415,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-24T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":56.583,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-23-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.46,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029438","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-29-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 29","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":154.7899,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-29-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.445,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029426","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-17-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 17","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":64.5871,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-17-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.45,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029428","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-19-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 19","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-20T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":73.5357,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-19-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.45,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029433","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-24-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 24","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":71.0438,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-24-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.455,0.4]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029460","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-18-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":148.9352,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-18-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.445,0.395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029486","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-27-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-28T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":191.4636,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-27-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029497","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-there-be-no-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-release-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will there be no next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) release by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"No release by December 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.385,0.615],"probability":0.385,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.08499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":237.1755,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-there-be-no-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-release-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.45,0.385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029446","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-4-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 4","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":229.6378,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-4-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.455,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029449","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-7-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 7","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":198.1793,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-7-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.455,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029450","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-8-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 8","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":181.0173,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-8-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029457","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-15-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 15","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":204.5663,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-15-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.455,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029458","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-16-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 16","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":226.4964,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-16-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029484","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-26-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 26","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-27T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.08500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":194.0165,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-26-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.445,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029447","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-5-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 5","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-06T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":213.0162,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-5-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.455,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029451","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-9-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 9","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":212.034,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-9-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029456","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-14-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 14","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-15T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":230.4342,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-14-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.45,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029468","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-22-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.7,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":226.6931,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-22-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.445,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029494","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":223.4326,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.45,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029452","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-10-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 10","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.67,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":251.0061,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-10-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.45,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029455","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-13-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 13","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.67,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-14T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":288.7961,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-13-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.455,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029462","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-19-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 19","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.355,0.645],"probability":0.355,"spread":0.67,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-20T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":228.9973,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-19-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.44,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029466","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-21-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 21","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-22T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.10000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":237.6549,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-21-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.455,0.35]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029464","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-20-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.66],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":302.4828,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-20-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.44,0.34]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029492","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-30-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.16499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":282.9246,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-30-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.435,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029478","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-25-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.59,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-26T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":325.6309,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-25-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.445,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029431","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-22-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-23T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":207.4338,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-22-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.455,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029490","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-29-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 29","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.41,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-30T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.215,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":218.4323,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-29-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.45,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029454","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-12-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 12","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-13T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":199.5899,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-12-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.455,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029459","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-17-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 17","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-18T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.28500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":182.2528,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-17-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.43,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029448","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-6-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 6","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-07T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":232.1558,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-6-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.245,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029471","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-23-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 23","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.34,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-24T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":188.8974,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-23-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.445,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029425","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-16-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 16","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-17T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.32499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":251.6188,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-16-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.26,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029436","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-27-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-28T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":231.7106,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-27-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.455,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029453","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-11-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 11","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-12T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":309.6468,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-11-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.26,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029424","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-15-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 15","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":415.9614,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-15-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.185,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029427","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-18-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-19T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":339.6037,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-18-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.25,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029442","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-2-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 2","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-03T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.34,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":221.3897,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:19:13.588682Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-2-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.165,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029474","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-24-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 24","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-12-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":274.3735,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-december-24-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.16,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029422","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-or-prior-to-november-13-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on or prior to November 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"On or prior to November 13","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0955,0.9045],"probability":0.0955,"spread":0.189,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-14T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":79.98,"volume_24hr":79.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.38449999999999995,"volume_24h_change":79.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.177433013916016,"normalized_volume":5.665109157562256,"liquidity":220.139,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-or-prior-to-november-13-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.045,0.0955]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"7029423","event_id":"1383747","slug":"will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-14-2026","question":"Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 14","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini\" and \"Carbon\" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Carbon would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 5 Carbon, while models whose name does not include \"Carbon\" or which retain a version designation below 4.1, such as Gemini 4 Carbon (released November 10, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or reasoning setting of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as image, TTS, or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-14T02:43:31Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":128.67,"volume_24hr":128.67,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":128.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.023544311523438,"normalized_volume":6.9440460205078125,"liquidity":274.2394,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-14T04:43:42.707935Z","added_at":"2026-11-14T02:56:02.673016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-gemini-carbon-4pt1-released-onptptpt-20261113/will-the-next-gemini-carbon-model-4pt1-be-released-on-november-14-2026","event_title":"Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.15,0.095]}]}