{"source":"polymarket","id":"138745","ticker":"chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31","slug":"chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31","title":"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResults from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.\n\nThe resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T18:31:12.665487Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":97080.050317,"volume_24hr":682.3557109999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.412254333496094,"normalized_volume":28.9327335357666,"liquidity":15133.7149,"open_interest":17274.303528,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"663","slug":"google","label":"google"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ 1550","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":668.0699999999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:55:47.644538Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:55:47.644538Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,668.0699999999999,682.3557109999999,682.3557109999999,682.3557109999999,682.3557109999999,682.3557109999999,682.3557109999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1087074","event_id":"138745","slug":"will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1550-by-december-31","question":"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?","group_item_title":"↑ 1550","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResults from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.\n\nThe resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T18:30:11.817000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32616.993315999996,"volume_24hr":668.0699999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":668.0699999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.576412200927734,"normalized_volume":27.704687118530273,"liquidity":3753.9352,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:03:32.315273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:53:14.375874Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1550-by-december-31","event_title":"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.265,0.255,0.225,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.255,0.24,0.23,0.235,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1370549","event_id":"138745","slug":"will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1650-by-december-31","question":"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?","group_item_title":"↑ 1650","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResults from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.\n\nThe resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T19:35:59.690000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7436.102054000001,"volume_24hr":14.285711,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":14.285711,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.087886095046997,"normalized_volume":20.383159637451172,"liquidity":2652.796,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:17:56.701208Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:15:17.692483Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1650-by-december-31","event_title":"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.095,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1087073","event_id":"138745","slug":"will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1500-by-december-31","question":"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?","group_item_title":"↑ 1500","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResults from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.\n\nThe resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-02T18:30:11.555000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-10T00:53:13Z","volume":33754.77836,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.88779640197754,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1500-by-december-31","event_title":"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1087075","event_id":"138745","slug":"will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1600-by-december-31","question":"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?","group_item_title":"↑ 1600","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResults from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.\n\nThe resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T18:29:51.475000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18202.612319000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.682315826416016,"liquidity":2153.1257,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:58:09.164750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T15:37:35.148621Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1600-by-december-31","event_title":"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.135,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1370551","event_id":"138745","slug":"will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1700-by-december-31","question":"Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?","group_item_title":"↑ 1700","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResults from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.\n\nThe resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T19:36:01.778000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5069.564267999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.66913604736328,"liquidity":4967.7937,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:45:11.486811Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T07:51:12.057323Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31/will-any-ai-model-reach-a-chatbot-arena-score-of-at-least-1700-by-december-31","event_title":"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.085,0.085]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/138745","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:07:48.893012Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?\" — top market at 22% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}