{"source":"polymarket","id":"140711","ticker":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by","slug":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by","title":"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.\n \nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T16:26:10.785501Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2540032.017112999,"volume_24hr":4477.220157,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.71758460998535,"normalized_volume":47.73334884643555,"liquidity":16708.7029,"open_interest":15713.822635,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"246","slug":"venezuela","label":"Venezuela"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.035,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4471.725657,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:06:22.696200Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:06:22.696200Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by","chart_24h":[5.4945,5.4945,5.4945,5.4945,5.4945,5.4945,5.4945,109.4945,109.4945,109.4945,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,291.312679,285.818179,285.818179,3225.1609719999997,4315.560971999999,4315.560971999999,4401.610157,4401.610157,4401.610157,4401.610157,4401.610157,4465.920157,4465.920157,4477.220157,4477.220157],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1107424","event_id":"140711","slug":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-december-31","question":"Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T19:56:57.952495Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":498730.8093179995,"volume_24hr":4477.220157,"prob_24h_change":0.035,"volume_24h_change":4471.725657,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.3658390045166,"normalized_volume":44.152896881103516,"liquidity":16996.0926,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:13.179628Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-december-31","event_title":"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.105,0.105,0.325,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.34,0.18,0.145,0.17,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1096279","event_id":"140711","slug":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-january-10","question":"Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?","group_item_title":"January 10","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T16:25:23.372952Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-13T07:02:47Z","volume":762709.847439,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":47.058467864990234,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-january-10","event_title":"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1097350","event_id":"140711","slug":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-january-17","question":"Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?","group_item_title":"January 17","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T16:25:23.628187Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-20T07:33:44Z","volume":498642.305924,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.151702880859375,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-january-17","event_title":"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1097352","event_id":"140711","slug":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-january-31-867","question":"Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?","group_item_title":"January 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T16:25:23.884364Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-03T07:51:36Z","volume":612191.852321,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.543331146240234,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-january-31-867","event_title":"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1107423","event_id":"140711","slug":"another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-march-31","question":"Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31-vTvJcKGlVvkm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-04T19:56:38.995642Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-03T06:49:07Z","volume":167757.20211099993,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.123985290527344,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by/another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by-march-31","event_title":"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/140711","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:14:45.532243Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?\" — top market at 13% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}