{"source":"polymarket","id":"143567","ticker":"miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30","slug":"miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30","title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T18:50:56.877000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1833255.208384999,"volume_24hr":17238.416739,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.625429153442383,"normalized_volume":43.93796157836914,"liquidity":90423.42983,"open_interest":324701.907794,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"246","slug":"venezuela","label":"Venezuela"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"102868","slug":"cuba","label":"Cuba"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.475,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6235.806579,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:52:05.260197Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:52:05.260197Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30","chart_24h":[6635.041552,6634.757224,6296.810219,6248.912816,5201.628487999999,6119.428488,6153.828487999999,6658.693757999999,8826.176207,8840.286207,8819.406207,8939.826982999999,8371.646982999999,6166.646983,7240.663777,6640.667268,7589.761527,7588.061527,7598.061527,7470.2554359999995,12358.255436,15105.393866,15105.393866,15105.393866,15427.983866,15894.623866,15993.476457,16141.826717000002,16141.826717000002,16255.226717000001,16255.226717000001,15553.764849000001,14991.246929,17238.416739],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1117222","event_id":"143567","slug":"miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-december-31-113-682","question":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T22:57:50.690000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":390233.7222010008,"volume_24hr":8841.227496,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":6235.806579,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.799232482910156,"normalized_volume":45.94512176513672,"liquidity":37969.6656,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:12:12.070431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:09:21.701082Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-december-31-113-682","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.515,0.5,0.5,0.475,0.47,0.46,0.475,0.475,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1106634","event_id":"143567","slug":"miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30-935-772","question":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0175,0.9825],"probability":0.0175,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T18:50:56.877000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1021765.562459998,"volume_24hr":8397.189243,"prob_24h_change":-0.013999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":4350.588608000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.48489761352539,"normalized_volume":53.07194900512695,"liquidity":43710.55816,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:12:12.070431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:09:21.701082Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30-935-772","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?","chart_24h":[0.0315,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.029,0.029,0.0275,0.0165,0.0175,0.0175,0.0175,0.018,0.018,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.0185,0.019,0.019,0.0185,0.0185,0.0185,0.0185,0.0185,0.0185,0.0175,0.0175,0.0175,0.0175,0.0175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447508","event_id":"143567","slug":"miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-march-31-971-121","question":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-96SHtIpplmhV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-26T14:33:58.418000Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T06:37:21Z","volume":421255.92372400034,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.492713928222656,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-march-31-971-121","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/143567","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:02:33.791976Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?\" — top market at 48% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}