{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/143691","as_of":"2026-11-04T23:39:21.581996Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?\" — 4% as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/143691","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"143691","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","slug":"will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","title":"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strike-on-cuba-by-EstR5MqlPUOe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strike-on-cuba-by-EstR5MqlPUOe.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T20:24:56.946148Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3711827.9571620002,"volume_24hr":8647.700241,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.819887161254883,"normalized_volume":51.932315826416016,"liquidity":108667.72085,"open_interest":420804.761893,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"102868","slug":"cuba","label":"Cuba"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"246","slug":"venezuela","label":"Venezuela"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0365,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1457.5161420000013,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T23:15:17.540451Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T23:15:17.540451Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","chart_24h":[9190.184098999998,9252.184098999998,9280.454099,9280.454099,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13162.984063999998,13240.623798999999,13240.623798999997,12856.013798999998,12856.013798999998,7684.0997,7584.0997,7584.099699999999,7584.099699999999,7601.9497,8618.609699999999,8618.609699999999,8350.3897,8623.660241,9027.550240999999,9027.550240999999,8647.700241],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1107878","event_id":"143691","slug":"will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","question":"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strike-on-cuba-by-EstR5MqlPUOe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strike-on-cuba-by-EstR5MqlPUOe.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0365,0.9635],"probability":0.0365,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T20:24:56.946148Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3711827.9571620002,"volume_24hr":8647.700241,"prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1457.5161420000013,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.345279693603516,"normalized_volume":67.13605499267578,"liquidity":109452.54985,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T23:15:18.110363Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T23:15:18.110363Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.029,0.029,0.0295,0.0295,0.034,0.0345,0.035,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.036,0.0365,0.037,0.037,0.037,0.037,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365]}]}