{"source":"polymarket","id":"143723","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026","slug":"will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026","title":"Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nQualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us%20latin%20america-9050dfddae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us%20latin%20america-9050dfddae.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T21:05:47.041930Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":224368.208875,"volume_24hr":1716.48,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.5169734954834,"normalized_volume":34.676719665527344,"liquidity":17608.5,"open_interest":22169.819853,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"246","slug":"venezuela","label":"Venezuela"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101253","slug":"macro-geopolitics","label":"Macro Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1511.849617,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T18:41:39.171446Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T18:41:39.171446Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026","chart_24h":[204.630383,204.630383,204.630383,204.630383,204.630383,204.630383,8.95,8.95,8.95,8.95,108.96,108.96,108.96,108.96,108.96,108.96,108.96,108.96,111.06,115.06,115.06,115.06,115.06,115.06,115.06,106.11,106.11,1716.48,1716.48,1716.48,1716.48,1716.48,1716.48,1716.48],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1108137","event_id":"143723","slug":"will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026","question":"Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nQualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us%20latin%20america-9050dfddae.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us%20latin%20america-9050dfddae.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T21:03:57.818000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":224368.208875,"volume_24hr":1716.48,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":1511.849617,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.6911563873291,"normalized_volume":44.53931427001953,"liquidity":17304.2915,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:17:13.684266Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T13:19:08.139174Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026/will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.245,0.25,0.245,0.245,0.25,0.245,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/143723","as_of":"2026-05-26T18:43:45.891318Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?\" — top market at 22% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}