{"source":"polymarket","id":"145523","ticker":"us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","slug":"us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","title":"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the \"leader of Iran\" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nRoles that could qualify for \"leader of Iran\" status include, but are not limited to, \"head of state,\" \"prime minister,\" or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran.\n\nA qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-before-august-YT6ouotabJ3S.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-before-august-YT6ouotabJ3S.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T20:28:12.085746Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":609504.6787140032,"volume_24hr":269.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.486855506896973,"normalized_volume":37.482383728027344,"liquidity":27933.519,"open_interest":121941.321166,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"103996","slug":"reza-pahlavi","label":"Reza Pahlavi"},{"id":"104005","slug":"iranian-leadership-regime","label":"Iran Regime"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0385,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.006499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":177.47042000000002,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:47:12.287108Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:47:12.287108Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","chart_24h":[53.81958,53.81958,92.12958,92.12958,71.73958,73.45958,118.90958,118.90958,118.90958,87.521665,87.521665,87.521665,87.521665,87.521665,87.521665,241.34166499999998,241.34166499999998,241.34166499999998,241.34166499999998,241.34166499999998,239.29999999999998,239.29999999999998,239.29999999999998,239.29999999999998,239.29999999999998,269.6,269.6,269.6,269.6,269.6,269.6,269.6,269.6,269.6],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1115288","event_id":"145523","slug":"us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","question":"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the \"leader of Iran\" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nRoles that could qualify for \"leader of Iran\" status include, but are not limited to, \"head of state,\" \"prime minister,\" or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran.\n\nA qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-before-august-YT6ouotabJ3S.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-before-august-YT6ouotabJ3S.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0385,0.9615],"probability":0.0385,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T20:28:12.085746Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":609504.6787140032,"volume_24hr":269.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.006499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":177.47042000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.559399604797363,"normalized_volume":49.18279266357422,"liquidity":32621.76219,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:35:20.878263Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:19:57.169527Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","event_title":"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0365,0.0375,0.0385,0.0375,0.0385,0.037,0.0385,0.0385]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/145523","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:51:46.068441Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}