{"source":"polymarket","id":"160366","ticker":"will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by","slug":"will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by","title":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.\n\nThe resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T20:50:09.337000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7590236.868000987,"volume_24hr":2941.000829,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.176801681518555,"normalized_volume":52.19027328491211,"liquidity":72751.5705,"open_interest":178109.915488,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101191","slug":"trump-presidency","label":"Trump Presidency"},{"id":"102305","slug":"us-iran","label":"US-Iran"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.055,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2136.4879140000003,"updated_at":"2026-06-28T14:56:47.449554Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T14:56:47.449554Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by","chart_24h":[804.5129149999999,812.127497,812.127497,812.127497,812.127497,831.6774969999999,773.6774969999999,715.6774969999999,233.797497,233.797497,233.797497,233.797497,233.797497,226.537497,215.427497,123.75749699999999,123.75749699999999,154.257497,154.257497,154.257497,81.067497,100.767497,250.96749700000004,250.96749700000004,250.96749700000004,400.967497,2907.667497,2907.667497,2907.667497,2941.000829,2941.000829,2941.000829,2941.000829],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1170144","event_id":"160366","slug":"will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by-december-31-2026-746","question":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.\n\nThe resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T20:50:09.337000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":617602.6301049993,"volume_24hr":2941.000829,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":2136.4879140000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.73383903503418,"normalized_volume":49.28030776977539,"liquidity":75506.849,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T11:51:45.665306Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T11:48:26.165070Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by-december-31-2026-746","event_title":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045,0.045,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1170143","event_id":"160366","slug":"will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by-march-31-2026","question":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.\n\nThe resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-12T20:50:07.343000Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T08:19:01Z","volume":4551157.607818982,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":65.14983367919922,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by-march-31-2026","event_title":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1707316","event_id":"160366","slug":"will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by-april-30-2026","question":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"April 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.\n\nThe resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-united-states-officially-declare-war-on-iran-before-july-8K0tG8pCCpVY.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-24T18:58:41.299749Z","end_date":"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T07:29:46Z","volume":2421476.6300770054,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":59.89719772338867,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by-april-30-2026","event_title":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/160366","as_of":"2026-06-28T15:01:03.008589Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?\" — top market at 6% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}